🔥 Reliance Power’s 5-Year Resurrection: From ₹2 to ₹63 — Real Turnaround or Other Income Circus?

🔥 Reliance Power’s 5-Year Resurrection: From ₹2 to ₹63 — Real Turnaround or Other Income Circus?

At a Glance

Reliance Power has risen like a phoenix — or more like a magician pulling rabbits (read: “other income”) out of a SEBI-compliant hat. From negative profits to sudden ₹3,000 Cr “income”, the stock is up 1,000%+ from COVID lows. But is the power real, or just electricity in the books?


⚡️ TL;DR

  • 💥 Stock is up >1000% from ₹3 lows in 2020 to ₹63 in 2025
  • ⚰️ FY20-FY24: Continuous losses, no dividend, and negative ROEs
  • ⚖️ FY25: Surprise ₹2,948 Cr profit… but ₹3,905 Cr of it is other income 😬
  • ⚡ Power capacity = 5,945 MW (mostly thermal), but execution has lagged
  • 🔋 Renewables push: 500 MW in Bhutan + 350 MW in India under NU Energies
  • 🧾 Book Value: ₹40.7 | CMP: ₹63.6 → 1.56x P/B, fair for power cos
  • 🔄 Debt reduced from ₹30,000 Cr+ to ₹15,153 Cr in 5 years
  • 🚩 Still 0% dividend, negative average ROE over 5 years

🕯️ Reliance Power: The Zombie That Refused to Die

Once a poster boy of Anil Ambani’s empire, RPower was dead money for a decade. Losses mounted. Power projects stalled. Investors cried.

And then… suddenly… in FY25:
₹2,948 Cr net profit.
₹3,905 Cr “other income”.

Coincidence? Surely not.
It’s as if CA firm said: “Beta, kuch toh karna padega!”


📊 Financials: Real Power or Excel Power?

MetricFY21FY22FY23FY24FY25
Revenue (₹ Cr)7,9347,5037,5147,8937,583
Operating Profit (₹ Cr)3,5752,7351,8861,1602,108
Net Profit (₹ Cr)454-915-403-2,0682,948
Other Income (₹ Cr)4861921,2964993,905
ROE0.82%-2.84%-1.26%-5.15%7.34%*
EPS (₹)0.82-2.84-1.26-5.157.34

* ROE helped entirely by one-time “other income”

Verdict?
If Other Income was a power source, Reliance Power could light up the Moon.


🧨 Projects, Debt & Reality Check

  • Installed capacity: 5,945 MW (5,760 MW thermal, 185 MW renewable)
  • Debt reduction: From ₹30,000+ Cr in FY15 to ₹15,153 Cr in FY25
  • Bhutan solar: ₹2,000 Cr investment — biggest FDI in Bhutan history
  • NU Energies (subsidiary): Winning solar + battery storage bids
  • But actual revenue growth? Flat. 5-year CAGR: 0%
  • Power output hasn’t matched project announcements yet.

🤡 So What’s This “Other Income”?

  • ₹3,905 Cr in FY25
  • More than 50% of FY25 total income
  • Company hasn’t fully broken down the source yet
    (Sale of assets? Debt restructuring? Accounting gains? All probable.)

Basically, the company made more money off the grid than from power generation.


🧑‍🏫 Promoter Drama & Shareholding

StakeholderMar 2020Mar 2023Mar 2025
Promoter25.0%23.2%24.98%
FIIs3.5%13.0%12.87%
DIIs0.0%4.9%3.2%
Public71.5%58.8%58.9%
  • Retail janta loves RPower again 💕
  • No major FPOs or new capital infusion yet
  • Small cap index darling? Or sitting duck?

🎯 Fair Value Range

Let’s give it a stab — assuming some sane valuation logic.

  • Current P/B: 1.56x
  • Power sector avg: ~1.2x for thermal-heavy players
  • Book Value: ₹40.7

🧮 Fair Value Range = ₹45 – ₹55, assuming stable ops and no “magical income”

Stock’s at ₹63.6 → slightly overvalued, unless solar pipeline delivers fast.


🚨 Red Flags Investors Can’t Ignore

  • 🧾 Operating profit down 60% from FY21
  • 📉 Revenues flat since 2015
  • 💣 Profits have been one-time gains, not core performance
  • 🧂 No dividend in 15+ years
  • 📉 Negative 10-year ROE
  • 😮 Other income accounts for more than 100% of FY25 PAT

🌈 So… Multibagger or Mirage?

✅ Why Bulls are Excited:

  • Solar pivot + clean energy push
  • Fewer write-offs recently
  • Debt shrinking, balance sheet improving
  • Cheap stock when compared to Adani Green/JSW Energy

❌ Why Bears Are Growling:

  • Growth missing in action
  • Core operations weak
  • Profit spike = mostly financial engineering
  • Solar projects not yet operational

🧠 EduTake

RPower is no longer the bankrupt beast it once was. But it’s not quite the renewable rockstar either. For now, it’s a halfway house — stuck between redemption and rerating.

If solar bets convert, it might power up again.
If not, the fuse might blow… again.


✍️ Written by Prashant | 📅 June 22, 2025
Tags: Reliance Power, Anil Ambani, Solar Projects, NU Energies, Other Income, Power Stocks, PSU vs Private Power, Renewable Energy, Bhutan Solar FDI, Indian Smallcap Stocks

Prashant Marathe

https://eduinvesting.in

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