📶 “Bharti Airtel’s ₹11 Lakh Cr Flex – 5G, Africa, and a Comeback 5 Years in the Making”

📶 “Bharti Airtel’s ₹11 Lakh Cr Flex – 5G, Africa, and a Comeback 5 Years in the Making”

🧠 At a Glance

Bharti Airtel went from “please port me” in 2020 to “India’s most profitable telco” in 2025. From bleeding losses to ₹12,476 Cr net profit, Airtel pulled a Reliance-style turnaround — minus the drama. With Africa booming, 5G rolling, and Jio distracted with OTT, is Sunil Mittal’s empire entering a golden network era?


📡 1. Business Model: One Airtel, Many Wavelengths

  • 📲 Mobile Services: Core revenue driver — India + 14 African nations
  • 🌐 Home Broadband: 6.5M+ customers, rising ARPU
  • 📺 DTH: Airtel Digital TV — still hanging in there
  • 💳 Airtel Payments Bank: Now profitable, growing rapidly
  • 🛰️ Enterprise & Cloud: B2B, Nxtra Data Centers, 5G infra monetization

It’s now a converged digital services platform — not just a telco.
Think: Jio + HDFC Payments + CtrlS + ACT Fiber, rolled into one.


📊 2. Financial Recap (FY21–FY25)

₹ in CrFY21FY22FY23FY24FY25
Revenue1,00,6161,16,5471,39,1451,49,9821,72,985
Net Profit-12,3648,30512,2878,55837,481
ROCE (%)7%11%12%13%15%
ROE (%)-21%10%14%13%28%
OPM (%)45%49%51%52%54%
EPS (₹)-25.637.2314.9713.2058.85

🔴 FY21 was brutal (AGR dues, Vodafone Idea survival, 5G capex)
🟢 FY25 is a clean, profitable beast. OPM at 54%, best-in-class.


📈 3. Growth Snapshot

Metric3Y CAGR5Y CAGRTTM
Revenue Growth14%15%15%
Profit Growth96%31%133%
Stock Price CAGR43%27%31%

💡 Cash from Ops (FY25): ₹98,332 Cr
That’s more than combined free cash flows of Tata Steel + HDFC Bank.


🌍 4. Africa Calling (And Contributing)

Bharti Airtel Africa is:

  • 🚀 Profitable, with strong EBITDA margins
  • 💸 Listing value unlocked via Airtel Africa Plc (London)
  • 📈 High ARPU relative to peers
  • 💰 Becoming Airtel India’s cash cow

It’s like Airtel bought an African 5G IPO… 10 years before everyone else.


🧾 5. Balance Sheet Highlights

  • 🧮 Net Debt: ₹2.13 Lakh Cr → High, but falling
  • 🏗️ Capex: ₹45,000+ Cr yearly (5G, fiber, datacenters)
  • 💰 Dividend: ₹16/share announced for FY25
  • 💳 Payments Bank: Profitable + partnerships with Axis, NPCI, Flipkart, etc.

Despite heavy capex, Operating Cash Flow covers everything.


🔬 6. Key Differentiators

Airtel AdvantageNotes
🔗 5G Rollout Ahead26 GHz + sub-GHz combo for urban + rural
☁️ Nxtra Data CentersB2B cloud push + hyperscaler tie-ups
🏦 Payments BankIndia’s first profitable payments bank
🌍 Africa OperationsProfitable, dollar hedge
📶 ARPU Growth₹200+ → ₹210+ in India, with pricing power

📉 7. Risks & Red Flags

  • 🧾 Still carries ₹2.1L Cr+ debt
  • ⚠️ Price war risk if Jio slashes rates again
  • 📉 DTH fading as OTT & broadband cannibalize
  • 🧯 AGR liabilities still exist (but provisioned mostly)

💸 8. Valuation & Fair Value

Assume FY26 PAT = ₹40,000 Cr
Assign P/E range of 28x–35x for a stable, capital-intensive telco

➡️ FV Range = ₹11.2L Cr – ₹14L Cr

✅ Current MCap = ₹11.18L Cr
📶 Reasonably valued, with room to re-rate if ARPU hikes continue or Africa listing is monetized


🧠 TL;DR – Port Your Mind to Airtel?

  • From 5G towers to African towers, Airtel is no longer a recovery story — it’s an empire.
  • FY25 net profit hit ₹37,481 Cr with a 54% margin.
  • Payments Bank, Nxtra Cloud, Airtel Africa = 3 silent growth levers
  • Stock isn’t cheap, but not overvalued either
  • Buy on data pack hikes, sit tight during spectrum auctions

Tags:

Bharti Airtel 5-year review, Airtel stock analysis, Airtel vs Jio, telecom multibagger, Airtel Payments Bank, Airtel Africa, 5G stocks India, EduInvesting Bharti Airtel


✍️ Written by Prashant | 📅 18 June 2025

Prashant Marathe

https://eduinvesting.in

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