📈 Amber Enterprises Is Now a ₹6,500 Stock — And You Missed the Rally (Again)

📈 Amber Enterprises Is Now a ₹6,500 Stock — And You Missed the Rally (Again)

By Prashant Marathe | EduInvesting.in | 21 May 2025


⚡ At a Glance:

While you were busy refreshing Nifty 50 charts and asking ChatGPT, “Multibagger stock batao na bhai,”Amber Enterprises quietly climbed to ₹6,500/share.

From a low of ~₹1,950 in March 2023 to ₹6,500 now in May 2025, that’s a +230% rally.

And you? You were looking at Paytm.


🏭 About the Company:

  • Amber Enterprises India Ltd. is one of India’s largest contract manufacturers of air conditioners.
  • They build components and entire ACs for brands like LG, Voltas, Whirlpool, Blue Star, Panasonic, Daikin, Hitachi, Godrej — you name it.
  • They don’t sell under their own name. They’re the ghost in your split AC.

Think of them as the TSMC of Indian consumer durables.


🧠 Key Management:

  • Jasbir Singh – Chairman & MD, the man who turned metal sheets into a ₹20,000 Cr market cap dream.
  • Deep bench of supply-chain veterans and manufacturing optimizers.

📊 Financials: FY24 + Trailing Twelve Months (TTM)

MetricFY24TTM (FY25E)
Revenue₹5,049 Cr₹6,150 Cr
EBITDA₹410 Cr₹515 Cr
Net Profit₹140 Cr₹215 Cr
EPS₹43.5₹66.9
ROCE12.5%15.4%
Debt/Equity0.370.29

Clean-up complete. Margins expanding. Volumes booming. And summer is only getting hotter (climate change is bullish for once?).


📈 The Rally You Slept Through:

  • 📉 March 2023: Stock crashes to ₹1,950 amid slowdown fears
  • 🔁 April–June 2023: Volume uptick, order books strong
  • 🧼 2024: Margins clean up, debt reduces, PLI wins
  • 🚀 Feb 2025: Breaks ₹5,000 mark as earnings surprise
  • 🔥 Now: ₹6,500 — while you’re still asking if it’s too late

Spoiler: If you ask that question, it probably is.


💸 Valuation Now:

  • CMP: ₹6,500
  • TTM EPS: ₹66.9
  • P/E = 97x 😬

Yes, it’s expensive. But so is missing the bus.

👇 Fair Value Calculation (Forward):

Let’s assume:

  • FY26E EPS = ₹90 (conservative growth)
  • Target P/E = 55x (still rich, but justified for a market leader with tailwinds)

🎯 Fair Value = ₹4,950

Which means: You’re entering at a 30% premium now.


🚀 Growth Outlook:

  1. Room AC demand in Tier 2/3 India exploding post-heatwave
  2. PLI Scheme benefits for AC components
  3. Increasing shift from China dependency = Make-in-India tailwind
  4. Big push into mobility cooling (railway coaches, EVs)
  5. Acquisitions in fans, motors, and ventilation play — diversifying from ACs

They’re building India’s HVAC backbone.


🧠 EduInvesting Take:

You ignored this because:

  • It wasn’t a consumer brand
  • It didn’t make flashy headlines
  • The stock was already ₹2,000 and you thought it was “expensive”

But like Page Industries, Bosch, or Nestlé — the real multibaggers are boring, deep-tech manufacturers with durable moats.

Amber made your AC. You ignored their stock. Now your AC and your regret — both are running hot.


🧯 Risks:

  • High P/E: One miss, and this valuation melts faster than an LG window unit.
  • Client Concentration: Still top 5 brands = 70% revenue
  • China dumping: Risk if cheap imports start again
  • Execution risk in expanding non-AC categories

🤡 Meme Zone:

  • You in 2023: “₹2,000 ka stock hai, mehenga hai.”
  • You in 2025: “Bro ₹6,500 is also okay, I’ll buy 1 share and average down.”

Tags: Amber Enterprises, multibagger stocks 2025, AC stocks India, PLI scheme, HVAC India, undervalued manufacturers, EduInvesting satire

Prashant Marathe

https://eduinvesting.in

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