🏥 Poly Medicure Ltd: From ₹5 EPS to ₹33 EPS — Medtech Marvel or Valuation Malady?

🏥 Poly Medicure Ltd: From ₹5 EPS to ₹33 EPS — Medtech Marvel or Valuation Malady?

🟢 At a Glance

Poly Medicure is India’s leading exporter of plastic medical disposables, growing net profit at a 29% 5-year CAGR to ₹339 Cr in FY25 (EPS ₹33.4). Debt-free and with 200+ SKUs across 12 specialties, it boasts 20% ROCE — yet a 65x PE and 344 working-capital days raise questions on whether growth can sustain the price.


🏭 About the Company

Founded in the 1990s, Poly Medicure Ltd (NSE: POLYMED) manufactures and exports over 200 medical device SKUs spanning:

  • Anaesthesia & Respiratory Care
  • Oncology & Therapy Devices
  • Central Venous Access Catheters
  • Dialysis & Blood Management
  • Urology & Gastroenterology
  • Surgery, Wound Drainage & Veterinary

🌐 Global Reach: Serves hospitals, clinics, and OEMs across 50+ countries.
🏭 Facilities: Three modern plants in Haryana and Gujarat, with a combined capacity to pack hundreds of millions of disposables annually.


👥 Key Managerial Personnel (KMP)

  • Mr. Pulak Chatterjee – Managing Director
  • Mr. Anil Kumar – Chief Financial Officer
  • Ms. Kavita Agarwal – Company Secretary & Compliance Head

These veterans steer Poly Medicure’s global expansion, product innovation, and tight financial controls.


📊 Key Financials (Consolidated)

MetricFY21FY22FY23FY24FY25
Revenue (₹ Cr)7859221,1151,3751,670
EBITDA (₹ Cr)216215267362453
Net Profit (₹ Cr)136147179258339
EPS (₹)14.1715.2818.6926.9133.41
ROCE (%)22%17%18%24%20%
ROE (%)28%26%24%18%16%
Net Debt (₹ Cr)137127149174180
Working Cap. Days107116112100344

💡 Highlights:

  • 5-Year Revenue CAGR: 21%
  • 5-Year PAT CAGR: 29%
  • Debt-Free (net debt <1x EBITDA)
  • Free Cash Flow positive but working capital ballooning

🚀 Strategic Events & Triggers

  • Product Portfolio Expansion: Added 50+ SKUs in anesthesia and respiratory care, riding COVID-era demand.
  • Global Quality Certifications: FDA, CE, TGA approvals unlocked markets in USA, EU, and Australia.
  • QIP in FY24: Raised ₹1,000 Cr for capacity expansion and R&D.
  • Capex: ₹1,200 Cr invested over five years in three automated plants, boosting scale and margins.
  • R&D Focus: Partnered with IIT-Delhi on next-gen bio-compatible polymers.
  • ESOP Grants: Aligning management incentives with long-term performance.

⚖️ Fair Value Estimate 🔍

  • Assume FY26 PAT grows 20% → ₹407 Cr
  • Sector-Peers PE: 30–35x (medical disposables niche)
  • Market Cap Fair Range: ₹12,200 Cr – ₹14,250 Cr
  • Shares Outstanding: ~10.2 Cr (₹51 Cr equity at ₹5 face)
  • 🧮 Fair Value Per Share: ₹1,196 – ₹1,397

CMP: ₹2,196 → implying the market expects FY27 PAT or multiple expansion.


📌 EduInvesting Take

Poly Medicure is the quiet achiever of India’s medtech export boom:

  • High-margin SKU mix (25–27% OPM)
  • Robust global approvals
  • Clean balance sheet

But:

  • 🔴 65x trailing PE vs. 30–35x peers
  • 🔴 Working capital days jumped from 100 to 344 (inventory build + receivables)
  • 🔴 Cash conversion cycle stretched → free-cash constraints

You’re paying like it’s FY28 earnings. If they deliver 20% PAT growth and tame working capital, the stock could justify its multiples. Otherwise, you risk buying tomorrow’s growth at today’s exorbitant price.


🚩 Risks & Red Flags

  • Working Capital Overhang: Inventory and receivables blocking ₹1,500 Cr+ of capital
  • Valuation Stretch: 65x PE leaves little margin for execution hiccups
  • Customer Concentration: Top 5 customers ~30% of revenues
  • Regulatory Shocks: Quality lapses or recalls could dent brand and sales
  • Currency Fluctuation: 80% of revenue in USD/EUR → FX swings impact margins

🧠 Final Word

Poly Medicure is a story of stellar growth in medtech disposables, but the valuation and working-capital conundrum make it more a taxi for the late-entrant rally than a stealth multibagger.

If you believe management can turn days-sales-outstanding back to sub-100 and sustain 20–25% profit growth, riding this wave at ₹2,196 a share might make sense.

But for risk-averse investors, waiting for a 20–30% correction or better cash-flow visibility could offer a safer runway.


✍️ Written by Prashant | 📅 June 16, 2025
Tags: poly medicure, medical disposables, medtech exports, high valuation stocks, working capital risk, medtech boom, eduinvesting recap, poly qip analysis

Prashant Marathe

https://eduinvesting.in

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