ZF Commercial Vehicle Control Systems India Q2 FY26 Concall Decoded: Margins Still in Cruise Control, Exports Hit a Pothole

1. Opening Hook

While the global economy fumbles at 3.2% growth and tariffs play whack-a-mole, ZF India decided it was time to show off its “control systems” — especially over volatility. The company’s Q2 call felt like a well-oiled ABS system: firm grip, minor skids, but no spinouts. Between electrified buses, ADAS dreams, and U.S. export tantrums, management did their best to sound confident.

Stick around — things get juicy when we hit “disc brakes vs. drum brakes,” and spoiler: comfort has a price tag.

2. At a Glance

  • Revenue ₹958.2 Cr (+0.8%)– CFO swears it’s not stagnation, it’s “stability.”
  • EBITDA Margin 22.9%– German discipline meets Indian frugality.
  • Net Profit ₹108.3 Cr– Up 10.6%, proving slow lanes can still make progress.
  • Exports ↓16%– Tariffs threw a spanner in the compressor.
  • Aftermarket ↑12.6%– Old parts never die; they just pay dividends.
  • Stock flat– Investors waiting for ADAS laws before hitting the accelerator.

3. Management’s Key Commentary

“India’s GDP grew 7.8%, driven by consumption and fixed investment.”(Translation: Our trucks still have roads to run — unlike Europe.😏)

“Heavy-duty segment declined 3.3% due to better highway utilization.”(Translation: Our own product efficiency reduced demand. Irony alert.)

“ESC adoption has accelerated post September regulation.”(Translation: Nothing motivates buyers like government deadlines.)

“Trailer ABS, EBS, and scholar EVO+ systems to drive future growth.”(Translation: Even our acronyms have acronyms now.)

“Aftermarket grew 12.6%, driven by retrofitments and clutch boosters.”(Translation: Mechanics love us; fleet managers tolerate us.)

“Exports to the U.S. fell 20%, partially offset by EMEA growth.”(Translation: Uncle Sam took a tariff hammer; Europe handed us a bandage.)

“Sustainability week cut water use by 25%.”(Translation: If sales dip, at least the taps won’t leak profit.💧)

4. Numbers Decoded

MetricQ2 FY26Q2 FY25YoY ChangeComment
Revenue₹958.2 Cr₹950.1 Cr+0.8%Barely broke even with inflation
EBITDA Margin22.9%21.5% (est.)+140 bpsTight cost screws, loose smiles
PAT₹108.3 Cr₹98 Cr+10.6%Profit stability in action
Exports-16%U.S. tariffs and moody OEMs
Aftermarket+12.6%Retrofit heroes saved the day

Note:The CFO claims cost control, not divine intervention, drove margin gains.

5. Analyst Questions (and Translations)

Q:What’s ESC penetration in buses?A:60% adoption outside city fleets. (Translation: Still some buses prefer chaos.)

Q:Status of ADAS & AEBS rules?A:Drafts exist, April 2026 unlikely. (Translation: Bureaucracy moves slower than our supply chain.)

Q:Why AMT volumes so low?A:“In hundreds, but doubling.” (Translation: From 100 to 200 — champagne, please!)

Q:Exports hurt by tariffs?A:“Prepared for any scenario.” (Translation: Please, no new tariffs, we’re begging.)

Q:Parent’s debt issues?A:“Focus on India remains high.” (Translation: India’s profit props up the parent.😅)

6. Guidance & Outlook

Management expects CV growth to

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