U GRO Capital Ltd: 31% AUM Growth, 2% Promoter Skin – Can This NBFC Keep Gro(w)ing?


1. At a Glance

U GRO Capital is the “data-meets-debt” NBFC targeting India’s small business lending gap. It’s tech-driven, sector-focused, and not afraid to experiment with everything from supply chain financing to machinery loans. Q1 FY26 headline: AUM at ₹12,081 Cr (+31% YoY), PAT ₹34.1 Cr (+12% YoY), but with promoter holding at a wafer-thin 2.25%. The market’s valuing it at just under book (0.97x P/B), P/E of 13.4 — i.e., cheap vs large NBFC peers, but with the “execution risk” label still attached.


2. Introduction

Imagine Bajaj Finance’s analytics engine, but running on SME loans instead of consumer credit. That’s U GRO’s pitch — mix sector expertise, data underwriting, and distribution reach to lend where banks hesitate.

Founded as a platform play, the company pivoted into aggressive AUM growth mode over the past 5 years. The 49% profit CAGR in that period is impressive, but so is the volatility in quarterly earnings. With a low promoter stake and high FII interest (29.3%), the stock is basically an FII mood swing barometer.


3. Business Model (WTF Do They Even Do?)

U GRO isn’t a “lend to everyone” NBFC. Its model is:

  • Sector Focus – Eight chosen sectors, including healthcare, education, light engineering, and more.
  • Product Spread – Supply chain finance, unsecured business loans,
  • machinery loans, LAP, micro enterprise loans.
  • Distribution – Mix of branch-led, fintech partnerships, and co-lending with banks.
  • Credit Engine – Proprietary underwriting models mixing GST data, bureau scores, and bank statement analytics.

Margins are modest (Q1 FY26 financing margin 13%), but the scale-up strategy is aggressive.


4. Financials Overview

  • Q1 FY26 Revenue: ₹414 Cr (+42% YoY)
  • Q1 FY26 PAT: ₹34.13 Cr (+12% YoY)
  • TTM Revenue: ₹1,518 Cr (+35% YoY)
  • TTM PAT: ₹148 Cr (+19% YoY)
  • TTM EPS: ₹12.56
  • P/E (Updated): 169 ÷ 12.56 ≈ 13.45x
  • P/B: 0.97x — valuation near asset value.
  • ROE: 8.26% (needs to push past 12%+ for market rerating).
  • GNPA: 2.3%, NNPA: 1.6% — controlled, but watchlist matters in SME space.

5. Valuation (Fair Value RANGE only)

MethodFormulaFair Value
P/E MethodPeer median P/E (20x) × EPS ₹12.56₹251
P/B MethodTarget P/B 1.4x × BV ₹174₹244
DDM12% cost of equity, 20% earnings growth₹230–₹260

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