1. At a Glance
U GRO Capital is the “data-meets-debt” NBFC targeting India’s small business lending gap. It’s tech-driven, sector-focused, and not afraid to experiment with everything from supply chain financing to machinery loans. Q1 FY26 headline: AUM at ₹12,081 Cr (+31% YoY), PAT ₹34.1 Cr (+12% YoY), but with promoter holding at a wafer-thin 2.25%. The market’s valuing it at just under book (0.97x P/B), P/E of 13.4 — i.e., cheap vs large NBFC peers, but with the “execution risk” label still attached.
2. Introduction
Imagine Bajaj Finance’s analytics engine, but running on SME loans instead of consumer credit. That’s U GRO’s pitch — mix sector expertise, data underwriting, and distribution reach to lend where banks hesitate.
Founded as a platform play, the company pivoted into aggressive AUM growth mode over the past 5 years. The 49% profit CAGR in that period is impressive, but so is the volatility in quarterly earnings. With a low promoter stake and high FII interest (29.3%), the stock is basically an FII mood swing barometer.
3. Business Model (WTF Do They Even Do?)
U GRO isn’t a “lend to everyone” NBFC. Its model is:
- Sector Focus – Eight chosen sectors, including healthcare, education, light engineering, and more.
- Product Spread – Supply chain finance, unsecured business loans,
- machinery loans, LAP, micro enterprise loans.
- Distribution – Mix of branch-led, fintech partnerships, and co-lending with banks.
- Credit Engine – Proprietary underwriting models mixing GST data, bureau scores, and bank statement analytics.
Margins are modest (Q1 FY26 financing margin 13%), but the scale-up strategy is aggressive.
4. Financials Overview
- Q1 FY26 Revenue: ₹414 Cr (+42% YoY)
- Q1 FY26 PAT: ₹34.13 Cr (+12% YoY)
- TTM Revenue: ₹1,518 Cr (+35% YoY)
- TTM PAT: ₹148 Cr (+19% YoY)
- TTM EPS: ₹12.56
- P/E (Updated): 169 ÷ 12.56 ≈ 13.45x
- P/B: 0.97x — valuation near asset value.
- ROE: 8.26% (needs to push past 12%+ for market rerating).
- GNPA: 2.3%, NNPA: 1.6% — controlled, but watchlist matters in SME space.
5. Valuation (Fair Value RANGE only)
| Method | Formula | Fair Value |
|---|---|---|
| P/E Method | Peer median P/E (20x) × EPS ₹12.56 | ₹251 |
| P/B Method | Target P/B 1.4x × BV ₹174 | ₹244 |
| DDM | 12% cost of equity, 20% earnings growth | ₹230–₹260 |
