1. At a Glance
PTC Industries is India’s metal-casting rockstar for critical and supercritical applications — the kind of components that end up in defense jets, LNG plants, and ships, not in your neighbourhood mechanic’s shop. Current market cap? ₹21,337 Cr. Stock P/E? A nosebleed 344x. The balance sheet? Almost debt-free. The only problem? Debtors take 170 days to pay up, and working capital days have ballooned from 205 to 381 — making it the financial equivalent of building a fighter jet but waiting a year to get paid.
2. Introduction
Founded when most Indian manufacturers were still making basic steel parts, PTC jumped into precision castings for industries where failure isn’t an option. The company’s tech arsenal — Replicast, RapidCast, ForgeCAST, titanium powders — sounds like Marvel’s Stark Industries R&D lab.
Over the last 5 years, PTC has clocked 105% profit CAGR and 33% revenue CAGR, but the stock’s valuation has detached from earth’s gravity. With Q1 FY26 revenue doubling to ₹107.7 Cr and a fresh MoU with Safran for aerospace components, investors are torn — is this India’s next global defense manufacturing giant, or is it déjà vu of “story stocks” that outgrow their own cash flows?
3. Business Model (WTF Do They Even Do?)
- Products: Stainless steel, duplex, nickel & cobalt alloy castings, titanium components.
- Clients: Defense (Aerospace, Navy), Oil & Gas, LNG, Marine, Petrochemical, Energy.
- Subsidiary:
- Aerolloy Technologies (WOS) — titanium & superalloy castings for aerospace.
- Tech Edge: Proprietary manufacturing processes like ForgeCAST, Replicast, RapidCast.
- Value Prop: India’s answer to importing super-critical metal parts — Make in India but in alloys that can handle hellish conditions.
4. Financials Overview
FY25 Snapshot:
- Revenue: ₹308 Cr
- EBITDA: ₹75 Cr (24% margin)
- PAT: ₹61 Cr
- EPS: ₹40.72
- ROE: 6.08% | ROCE: 7.75%
- Debt: ₹61 Cr
Q1 FY26:
- Revenue: ₹97.15 Cr (+107% YoY)
- EBITDA margin: 9.04% (ouch, down from 23.5% FY25 avg)
- PAT: ₹5.16 Cr (-significantly down vs Q4 FY25)
Commentary: Topline’s zooming thanks to defense & aerospace orders, but margins are thinner this quarter — scaling up high-tech manufacturing is not cheap.
5. Valuation – Fair Value RANGE
| Method | Basis | Multiple / Assumption | Value per Share |
|---|---|---|---|
| P/E Method | EPS ₹40.9 | 25x – 35x | ₹1,023 – ₹1,432 |
| EV/EBITDA | EBITDA ₹74 Cr | 12x – 15x | ₹592 – ₹740 |
| DCF | 20% growth, WACC 11% | Heavy terminal value | ₹1,200 – ₹1,600 |
Fair Value Range: ₹600 – ₹1,600
This FV range is for educational purposes only and is not
