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🔧 Precision Camshafts Ltd – 70% Market Share in India, 9% Global, Yet Still Idling at Low ROE?


1. At a Glance

Imagine being the engine’s spine but still earning chillar margins. Precision Camshafts, the Solapur-born company that makes camshafts for half the cars you see on Indian roads, owns 70% domestic market share. Globally, it’s at 9%—not bad for a smallcap. Yet, profits barely move, Europe is coughing diesel smoke, and the much-hyped e-mobility subsidiary EMOSS looks more like “E-Mess.” Market cap is ₹1,628 Cr, share price ₹171, and return ratios so weak they wouldn’t qualify for a second-hand Activa loan.


2. Introduction

This company has a classic auto-ancillary DNA: start with a boring-but-essential product, scale quietly, then one fine day announce an “EV transition” to sound sexy to investors. Precision Camshafts was incorporated in 1992, became a global supplier of camshafts (the things that control your car’s valves—no camshaft, no vroom), and then went shopping in Europe.

The strategy? Three legs on the stool:

  1. Camshafts – the dependable old workhorse.
  2. MEMCO – fuel injection bits (because diesel still isn’t dead in Bharat).
  3. EMOSS – the shiny Dutch EV arm that converts trucks to electric and promises payloads up to 50 tons.

But here’s the twist: camshafts are still 87% of revenues. MEMCO and EMOSS together are barely 13%. Europe is bleeding. India is holding the fort. And yet valuations are running at 46x earnings, which is like paying iPhone Pro prices for a Micromax.


3. Business Model – WTF Do They Even Do?

  • Camshafts & Assemblies (87%): 150+ varieties, chill-cast, ductile iron, hybrids, assemblies—you name it, they cast it. Domestic OEM share = 70%, global = 9%. Plants in Solapur, Nashik, Germany, Netherlands. FY24 casting volume 6.98 Mn units, machining volume 2.97 Mn units.
  • EMOSS (8%): EV drivelines for trucks, buses, military. Conversion kits = ₹5–6 lakh per LCV, ₹70–80 lakh for heavy trucks. Sounds fancy, but revenues actually declined by 15% in FY22–24 thanks to Europe’s recession hangover.
  • MEMCO (5%): Fuel injection components. Revenue declining slightly, but still profitable.
  • Geo Mix: India 39% (rising), Europe 34% (falling), RoW 27% (rising). In short: Bharat > Brussels.

Question: If you had 70% market share in India already, where would you grow—Mars?


4. Financials Overview

MetricLatest Qtr (Q1 FY26)YoY Qtr (Q1 FY25)Prev Qtr (Q4 FY25)YoY %QoQ %
Revenue (₹ Cr)195225190-13.3%+2.6%
EBITDA (₹ Cr)412326+78.3%+57.7%
PAT (₹ Cr)18.81240+56.7%-53.0%
EPS (₹)1.981.224.26+62.3%-53.6%

Annualised EPS = 1.98 × 4 = ₹7.9
At CMP ₹171 → P/E = 21.7x (better than screener’s 46x because that was using TTM with one-off).

Detective note: Quarterly numbers are bouncing like a suspicious balance sheet—one quarter profit doubles, next quarter it halves.


5. Valuation – Fair Value Range

P/E Method
Industry PE ~27. EPS = ₹7.9.
Fair P/E range 18–25x = ₹142–₹198.

EV/EBITDA
EV = ₹1,655 Cr. FY25 EBITDA = ~₹124 Cr.
EV/EBITDA = 13.4x. Peers trade 10–12x.
Fair EV = ₹1,240–₹1,488 Cr → ₹128–₹154/share.

DCF Quick Cut
Assume CFO ₹140 Cr, growth 8%, discount 12%.
DCF range = ₹150–₹175/share.

👉 Fair Value Range: ₹128 – ₹198/share.

Disclaimer: Educational only, not investment advice.


6. What’s Cooking – News, Triggers, Drama

  • Q1 FY26 profit revival: From ₹-34 Cr loss last quarter to ₹25.6 Cr standalone profit. Management says “cost control.” Translation: No impairments this time.
  • EV orders: Retrofitting fleets in Pune/Nagpur/Mumbai. Size ~₹5–10 Cr. Honestly, pocket
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