Olectra Greentech Q2FY26: EV Buses on Steroids, Promoters on Espresso — Revenue Up 25%, PAT Up 4%, and a ₹16,000 Cr Order Buffet That’ll Make Tesla Blink
1. At a Glance
Olectra Greentech Ltd — India’s largest pure-play electric bus manufacturer — just dropped its Q2FY26 results, and it’s the kind of quarter that makes government PSU buyers and ESG funds simultaneously smile. With quarterly revenue at ₹657 crore (up 25.4% YoY) and PAT at ₹49.6 crore (up 4.18% YoY), the company continues to accelerate despite speed bumps in execution and working capital.
At a current market price of ₹1,516 per share and a P/E of 87x, this ₹12,440 crore market-cap machine is priced like a tech unicorn but operates like an auto ancillaries veteran. Its ROCE stands at 20.5% and ROE at 14.3%, which isn’t shabby for a company still halfway into its ₹750 crore capex marathon.
And the cherry on the lithium-ion cake? A mind-bending order book of 10,224 e-buses, valued between ₹15,000–16,000 crore — enough to keep its Hyderabad assembly lines sweating through FY28.
If you think this is just a battery-powered fad, wait till you see how they turned from a sleepy polymer insulator maker into India’s electric bus poster boy. Let’s dig into the data, the drama, and the delicious sarcasm that only Olectra’s balance sheet can serve.
2. Introduction
Once upon a transformer, there was a Hyderabad-based company making insulators — a boring but steady business. Then came BYD, the Chinese EV giant, with a collaboration offer in 2016. Olectra said “Namaste,” and suddenly, the company that once insulated wires was now electrifying highways.
Today, Olectra Greentech is synonymous with electric buses in India. If you’ve seen a silent green bus gliding past your chai stall in Pune, Hyderabad, or Mumbai — odds are it’s one of Olectra’s 2,448 e-buses already clocking 30+ crore kilometres on Indian roads.
From insulators to innovators, Olectra’s journey has been anything but dull. They’ve entered electric tippers, announced electric trucks, and are midway through building a massive EV plant in Seetharampur with a 5,000-unit annual capacity, scalable to 10,000.
But not everything runs on renewable energy — the stock’s high valuation (P/E 87) runs on pure investor adrenaline. While profits grew 123% CAGR over five years, margins are plateauing, and debt has risen to ₹366 crore to fund expansion.
Still, Olectra’s story is India’s EV transition in motion — equal parts ambition, leverage, and government tender paperwork.
3. Business Model – WTF Do They Even Do?
Let’s keep it simple — Olectra has two faces:
E-Vehicle Division (91% of revenue in 9M FY25) The company designs, assembles, and maintains electric buses — from city shuttles (7m, 9m) to long-haul intercity beasts (12m coaches). It’s the official caffeine supplier for India’s state transport corporations — BEST, MSRTC, PMPML, TSRTC, HRTC, you name it. Recently, Olectra also rolled out electric tippers and trucks, signalling its move beyond passengers into commercial EVs — because why stop at passengers when you can electrify cement too?
Insulator Division (9% of revenue) Their OG business — making composite polymer insulators used in high-voltage transmission. This division pays the bills when EV deliveries are delayed and exports to Africa, the U.S., and Southeast Asia keep the lights on (literally).
Its technology partner, BYD, remains the silent powerhouse, providing batteries and EV know-how till 2030.
So, while Tata Motors and Ashok Leyland juggle diesel nostalgia with EV experiments, Olectra’s mantra is pure: “No smoke, only volts.”
4. Financials Overview
Metric
Q2FY26 (₹ Cr)
Q2FY25 (₹ Cr)
Q1FY26 (₹ Cr)
YoY %
QoQ %
Revenue
657
524
347
25.4%
89.3%
EBITDA
89
81
48
9.9%
85.4%
PAT
49.6
47.6
26
4.2%
90.7%
EPS (₹)
6.04
5.79
3.17
4.3%
90.5%
Commentary: Olectra’s revenue has doubled since June, courtesy of faster bus deliveries and new order execution. PAT margins, however, haven’t kept pace — the EPS grew 4% YoY, hinting that supply chain and financing costs are biting harder than a Delhi auto union strike.
Still, ₹657 crore in quarterly revenue puts it in the elite EV manufacturing league, well ahead of most domestic peers.
5. Valuation Discussion – Fair Value Range
We’ll use three valuation angles to estimate a “Fair Value Range” for learning purposes only.
a) P/E Method: EPS (TTM) = ₹17.4 Industry average P/E = 33x → Fair Value Range = ₹17.4 × 33 = ₹574 At 1.5x industry premium (given Olectra’s growth and monopoly), upper bound = ₹860
b) EV/EBITDA Method: EV = ₹12,681 Cr EBITDA (TTM) = ₹269 Cr EV/EBITDA = 47x (current) Industry avg EV/EBITDA = 18–22x → Fair Value Range ≈ ₹5,000–₹6,000 Cr EV Converted to equity value → ₹940–₹1,100/share
c) DCF Snapshot (simplified) Assuming 25% CAGR revenue, 12% WACC, and 6% terminal growth → Fair Value Range ₹850–₹1,050/share
Educational Fair Value Range:₹850 – ₹1,050/share (Current CMP ₹1,516 is well above, suggesting the market’s already priced in FY27 dreams.)
Disclaimer: This fair value range is for educational purposes only and not investment advice.
6. What’s Cooking – News, Triggers, Drama
April 2025: ₹424 crore order from HRTC for 297 e-buses.
September 2025: New MD Mahesh Babu Subramanian appointed (ex-Mahindra Electric boss), signaling serious EV intent.
July 2025: Founders and Chairman K.V. Pradeep resigned; Meil Holdings took full control.
November 2025: ₹300 crore irrevocable undertaking to REC for advance to its subsidiary Evey Trans — with a juicy 120-day delivery clause and a 2% penalty if delayed (because even EVs need performance pressure).
Capex March 2026: ₹750 crore plant expansion in Seetharampur — Phase II under
One Response
nice analysis