Search for stocks /

Mangalore Refinery & Petrochemicals Ltd Q2FY26 FY26 – Refining Profits, Burning Cash: ₹86,000 Cr Revenue and Still Saying “Main ONGC Ka Beta Hoon”


1. At a Glance

Mangalore Refinery & Petrochemicals Ltd (MRPL), ONGC’s oil refining arm, is that obedient PSU kid who does everything right on paper — produces record throughput, files patents, even builds desalination plants — yet somehow ends up with ROE less than a fixed deposit.

At ₹150 per share (as of Oct 21, 2025), MRPL commands a market cap of ₹26,368 crore. The Q2FY26 result showed revenue of ₹22,649 crore (–9.3% YoY), but PAT exploded to ₹627 crore — a 190% jump, thanks to improved refining margins and low-cost crude. Gross refining margin (GRM) hit $10.36/bbl, up from $9.88 last year.

Still, the PSU curse lingers — ROE 0.45%, ROCE 4.38%, and a P/E of 25.5 that even the market can’t justify with patriotism alone. Debt sits at ₹10,824 crore, because what’s a PSU without a bit of leverage to keep auditors awake?


2. Introduction

If Reliance is India’s oil baron, MRPL is its middle-class cousin who still fills forms in triplicate. Set up as a JV between AV Birla and HPCL, later adopted by ONGC, MRPL refines 15 million tonnes of crude annually and dreams of being the next BPCL — only without the marketing muscle, petrochemical profits, or investor enthusiasm.

In FY24, revenue slipped 17% due to maintenance shutdowns, yet profits improved. How? Simple: cheap Russian oil + high product spreads = PSU happiness formula. Operating margin rose from 6% to 9%, and the company bragged about processing Siberian Light and KGD6 crude like it discovered oil itself.

But beneath the petroleum-scented success lies the real story — thin margins, policy whiplash, and a retail business (HiQ fuel stations) that’s basically HPCL in cosplay.


3. Business Model – WTF Do They Even Do?

MRPL runs a refinery, sells fuel, makes petrochemicals, and runs retail pumps — basically a jack of all trades, master of refining taxes.

  • Refining (Core Business) – 15 MMTPA refinery at Mangaluru processing light to heavy crude. Utilization rate in FY24 was 111%, which sounds impressive until you realize margins are thinner than airline coffee.
  • Retail (2.6 MMT Sales, ₹15,400 Cr) – The “HiQ” brand operates 101 outlets in Karnataka & Kerala. Plan: 1000 outlets by FY27. Reality: bureaucratic delays and land approvals slower than a diesel pump on UPS.
  • Petrochemicals (Mangpol) – Polypropylene, paraxylene, benzene, toluene, reformate — all fancy products whose prices are decided by global supply-demand drama. Petchem capacity being raised from 10% to 12.5%.
  • Consumer & Industrial Sales – Diesel, ATF, bitumen, sulfur, petcoke, and furnace oil. MRPL sells nearly everything you can spill on a construction site.

In FY24, domestic share rose to 69%, exports fell to 31%, signaling the “Atmanirbhar but not yet profitable” strategy.


4. Financials Overview

MetricLatest Qtr (Q2FY26)YoY Qtr (Q2FY25)Prev Qtr (Q1FY26)YoY %QoQ %
Revenue₹22,649 Cr₹24,968 Cr₹17,356 Cr-9.3%+30.5%
EBITDA₹1,489 Cr₹-474 Cr₹180 Cr414%726%
PAT₹627 Cr₹-697 Cr₹-271 CrNANA
EPS (₹)3.58-3.98-1.54NANA

Annualised EPS: ₹3.58 × 4 = ₹14.32
At CMP ₹150 → P/E ≈ 10.5x (adjusted for normalised earnings).

Commentary: After three quarters of slipping on oil, MRPL finally found traction — like an old Maruti after a new oil change.


5. Valuation Discussion – Fair Value Range

Method 1: P/E Approach
Industry P/E ≈ 20.7
EPS (TTM) = ₹5.91
Fair Value = 5.91 × (15–20) = ₹88 – ₹118

Method 2: EV/EBITDA
EV = ₹36,318 Cr; EBITDA (TTM) ≈ ₹4,020 Cr → EV/EBITDA = 9x
Peer median ≈ 10–12× → Fair EV ≈ ₹40,000–₹48,000 Cr → Equity per share ≈ ₹165 – ₹200

Method 3: DCF (Discounted Crude Fantasy)
Assuming GRM $9–10/bbl, throughput 17 MMT, and WACC 9% → fair range ₹130 – ₹170

🎯 Fair Value Range (Educational): ₹120 – ₹170 per share
(This range is for educational purposes only, not investment advice.)


6. What’s Cooking – News, Triggers, Drama

It’s been a year of achievements and awkward clarifications:

  • Oct 17 2025: Stock spurt clarification — “No unpublished information.” Translation: “We’re as surprised as you.”
  • Oct 15 2025: Q2FY26 results out: ₹627 Cr PAT, 190% profit growth, refining margins up.
  • May 30 2025: Awarded US Patent for Isobutyl Benzene synthesis — MRPL goes from refiner to chemist.
  • Apr 2025: Achieved record crude processing of 18 MMT, making it India’s fourth largest refiner by throughput.
  • Jul 2024: Tragic tank accident killed two
error: Content is protected !!