Indian Oil Corporation Ltd Q2 FY26 Concall Decoded: “From Crude Drama to Clean Fuel Karma”

1. Opening Hook

When the world fretted about OPEC cuts and climate targets, Indian Oil calmly lit its Diwali lamps with a ₹7,610 crore PAT — up 34% QoQ. While others cried “rainfall impact,” IOCL called it a “minor drizzle.” The nation’s refiner-in-chief is now juggling crude discounts, hydrogen dreams, and government handouts like an overworked barista pouring energy lattes.But here’s the twist — from $10.66 GRMs to hydrogen buses and SAF deals, IOCL’s call was half refinery talk, half sci-fi movie. Keep reading — because when India’s biggest energy player says it’s “green,” it might just mean money green.

2. At a Glance

  • Revenue ₹2,02,992 crore (↓7%)– Blame monsoon, not margins.
  • PAT ₹7,610 crore (↑34% QoQ)– Rain or shine, profits pumped up.
  • GRM $10.66/bbl (↑54%)– Diesel cracks did the heavy lifting.
  • Throughput 17.6 MMT (↓6%)– Gujarat refinery snoozed, others caffeinated.
  • Borrowings ₹1.28 lakh crore (↑6,700 crore)– Working capital said “hello.”
  • CAPEX ₹15,890 crore (H1)– Sprinting hard, not jogging.
  • Stock steady– Investors too busy counting LPG installments to care.

3. Management’s Key Commentary

“Profit after tax stood at ₹7,610 crores, higher than ₹5,689 crores last quarter.”(Translation: Monsoon couldn’t drown our margins — we floated on diesel.😏)

“IOC’s share of LPG compensation is ₹14,486 crores, disbursed over 12 months.”(Translation: Government EMI plan activated — one crore per month keeps stress away.)

“GRM at $10.66, normalized at $8.91 — diesel cracks saved the day.”(Translation: Diesel is our hero, petrol’s just along for the ride.)

“Refinery utilization at 99.5%, pipelines at 67% due to Gujarat shutdown.”(Translation: Gujarat took a nap, others ran a marathon.)

“We achieved 19.85% ethanol blending; target 31 GW renewables by 2030.”(Translation: Old oil, new karma — burn less, brag more.)

“Hydrogen buses launched, SAF deal with Air India signed.”(Translation: Now boarding — Flight IOCL 2030, powered by used cooking oil.✈️)

“Borrowings rose due to forex and working capital

changes; D/E at 0.68.”(Translation: Debt’s in check — unlike global crude prices.)

4. Numbers Decoded

MetricQ2 FY26Q1 FY26YoY/Comment
Revenue (₹ Cr)2,02,9922,18,608↓7%; Monsoon blues
PAT (₹ Cr)7,6105,689↑34%; Diesel delight
GRM ($/bbl)10.666.91Crack-ing performance
Throughput (MMT)17.618.7↓6%; Gujarat shutdown
Pipeline throughput (MMT)24.126.3↓8%; maintenance hit
Sales (MMT)24.2626.33Rain spoiled road trips
LPG loss/cylinder₹100 → ₹40Compensation cushion
CAPEX (₹ Cr, H1)15,890Halfway sprint done

Diesel saved the quarter; monsoon and petrochemicals dragged the vibes.

5. Analyst Questions

ICICI Securities:LPG comp booked as revenue?CFO:“Yes, monthly installments.”(Translation: Government pays in EMIs, not miracles.)

Smartsun Capital:“Market doesn’t value you right.”CFO:“We agree, but good vibes coming.”(Translation: Please re-rate us already.)

Ambit Capital:“Project Sprint updates?”CFO:“Target 20% cost cut, wait till Q3.”(Translation: Savings under construction.)

HSBC:“GRMs sustainable?”CFO:“Mostly diesel + freight optimization.”(Translation: Diesel’s still daddy.)

CLSA:“Why not accrue full LPG comp upfront?”CFO:“Because ministry said monthly.”(Translation: Accounting ruled by babus, not IFRS.)

6. Guidance &

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