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HDFC Bank Ltd – ₹14.5 Lakh Crore Behemoth Handing Out Bonus Shares Like Diwali Sweets


1. At a Glance

HDFC Bank is that topper kid of Indian banking who still gets scolded for handwriting. Market cap ₹14.5 lakh crore, EPS ₹46, ROE 14%, and fresh from a 1:1 bonus issue in August 2025. It’s India’s largest private bank, second-largest overall after SBI, and tenth-largest globally by market cap. Profits are ₹70,000+ crore, NPAs are a joke (1.3% GNPA), and yet stock trades at 20× P/E while peers cry at half. Basically, it’s the Virat Kohli of banks — occasionally out of form, but still the benchmark.


2. Introduction

Started in 1994, HDFC Bank grew from a small private bank to India’s financial juggernaut. In July 2023, it absorbed parent HDFC Ltd, turning into a universal bank with retail loans, insurance, AMC, and housing finance under one umbrella. Post-merger, promoter holding vanished — HDFC Bank is now owned entirely by FIIs, DIIs, and retail.

Key bragging rights:

  • 95 million customers (more than the population of Germany).
  • ₹25 lakh crore deposits, ₹25 lakh crore loans.
  • Debit cards? 5 crore+. Credit cards? 2 crore+. Spend per card = 3× industry average.
  • Net NPAs at 0.4%, which in Indian banking is rarer than a corruption-free project tender.

Still, critics complain about slowing NIMs (3.5%), cost-to-income at 41%, and profit growth tapering to 3–5%. Question is: has the once unshakeable growth engine started showing middle-age paunch?


3. Business Model – WTF Do They Even Do?

HDFC Bank runs on four legs:

  • Retail Banking (40% of revenue): Home loans, car loans, personal loans, credit cards. Basically, if you owe money in India, odds are you owe HDFC.
  • Wholesale Banking (27%): Lending to corporates, SMEs, government projects.
  • Insurance (17%): HDFC Life, HDFC Ergo. The cousin businesses where your premium goes to die.
  • Treasury & Others (16%): Investments, bond trading, etc. The side hustle.

In short, HDFC Bank prints money by borrowing at 4%, lending at 9%, collecting fees for swiping your debit card, charging you for not maintaining minimum balance, and still acting like they’re doing you a favor.


4. Financials Overview

Source table
MetricLatest Qtr (Jun’25)YoY Qtr (Jun’24)Prev Qtr (Mar’25)YoY %QoQ %
Revenue₹87,372 Cr₹81,546 Cr₹86,779 Cr+7.1%+0.7%
PAT₹17,090 Cr₹17,188 Cr₹19,285 Cr-0.6%-11.4%
EPS (₹)10.610.812.3-1.9%-13.8%

Commentary: Revenues grew, profits dipped. Bank is collecting more interest but shareholders are collecting fewer smiles.


5. Valuation – Fair Value Range Only

  • P/E Method: EPS ~₹46 × 18–24× → ₹825–1,100.
  • P/B Method: Book value ~₹341 × 2.3–3.2× → ₹785–1,095.
  • DCF: Assume profit growth 12%, COE 11%, g = 4% → ₹900–1,150.

🎯 Fair Value Range: ₹785–1,150.

Disclaimer: Educational purposes only. Don’t mortgage your house to bet on a house-mortgaging company.


6. What’s Cooking – News, Triggers, Drama

  • 1:1 Bonus Issue + ₹5 Dividend (Aug’25): Investors got ladoos and gulab jamuns together. Paid-up capital doubled overnight.
  • Subsidiary IPO: HDB Financial Services may list soon. Could unlock value like SBI Cards did.
  • Ratings Upgrade: S&P raised rating to BBB/Stable. Finally, gora rating agencies think desi banks are trustworthy.
  • Governance Headache: June 2025 — CEO linked to ₹65 crore loan default dispute (allegations denied). Plus, SEBI and RBI penalties (₹75 lakh fine in March, SEBI warning in April). Clean but not
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