Search for stocks /

Gujarat Industries Power Company Ltd – 2,375 MW Dreams, 1.84% Sales Growth, and More PPAs Than Tinder Matches


1. At a Glance

Welcome to Gujarat Industries Power Company Ltd (GIPCL) — the PSU child of the Gujarat Government that generates power from gas, lignite, solar, and wind, but not enough hype to move its stock price. Installed capacity? 1,184 MW. Stock price? ₹181. Return profile? About as electrifying as a power cut during an IPL match. Yet, the company is now dangling a shiny 2,375 MW Khavda Renewable Energy Park in front of investors like free chai in a shareholders’ meeting.


2. Introduction

Imagine a government-backed utility that’s part coal, part green, part gas, and part bureaucratic drama. That’s GIPCL. Established in 1985, it has thermal plants in Vadodara and Nani Naroli, solar parks in Charanka, Raghanesda, Amrol, and even mines its own lignite. A true “everything in-house” model — mine the fuel, burn the fuel, and then sell the power to its own promoter GUVNL, which also happens to be its largest customer (86% sales in FY22). Talk about related party transactions.

For years, GIPCL has lived like a steady uncle: running 800+ MW thermal plants at ~69% PLF, solar and wind at ~23% CUF, and distributing regular dividends (~30% payout). But now, with Khavda’s 2,375 MW renewable project, it wants to be seen as the cool cousin who suddenly bought an EV.

Problem? ROE is just 6%, debt is piling up (₹2,027 Cr), and sales growth is flatter than a dhokla. Investors have punished it — stock down 25% in the last year. So is this the next PSU power multibagger, or another government-run treadmill?


3. Business Model – WTF Do They Even Do?

At its heart, GIPCL sells electricity. But the portfolio is like a Gujarati thali:

  • Thermal (Gas 310 MW, Lignite 500 MW): Base-load power plants. Old, reliable, slightly polluting, but still cash cows.
  • Solar (262 MW): Spread across SLPP, Vastan, Amrol, Raghanesda, and Charanka. CUFs of 20–25% — decent, but not Adani Green level bragging.
  • Wind (113 MW): Projects in Kutch, Amreli, Rajkot, Porbandar. Works fine when the wind blows.
  • Mining: Operates captive lignite mines with reserves of 170 MTe. PSU privilege: mine allocation handed on a silver thali.
  • Future Play: The massive Khavda RE Park (2,375 MW). A giant project in the Rann of Kutch, part of India’s 30 GW renewable mega-park.

Revenue model? Long-term PPAs with GUVNL, SECI, NTPC. Basically, “we’ll produce, they’ll buy” — fixed, predictable, and zero marketing required.

So yes, they’re not entrepreneurs — they’re contractors with a power plant.


4. Financials Overview

Source table
MetricLatest Qtr (Jun’25)YoY Qtr (Jun’24)Prev Qtr (Mar’25)YoY %QoQ %
Revenue₹372 Cr₹320 Cr₹338 Cr16.1%10.1%
EBITDA₹113 Cr₹116 Cr₹119 Cr-2.6%-5.0%
PAT₹57 Cr₹68 Cr₹70 Cr-16.1%-18.6%
EPS (₹)3.74.484.49-17.4%-17.6%

Commentary: Sales grew, profits shrank. It’s like eating more fafda but still losing weight.


5. Valuation – Fair Value Range Only

  • P/E Method: EPS ₹13.1 annualised. Sector P/E 12–20x. Fair value = ₹157 – ₹262.
  • EV/EBITDA Method: EBITDA ~₹403 Cr. EV/EBITDA sector ~8–12x → EV ₹3,224 – ₹4,836 Cr. Minus debt → Equity value ~₹1,200 – ₹2,800 Cr → Per share ₹77 – ₹181.
  • DCF Method: Assume 6% CAGR growth, 12% WACC, 2% terminal growth → Fair value = ₹160 – ₹200.

👉 Overall fair value range: ₹150 – ₹200/share.
(Disclaimer: Educational purpose only, not investment advice. Please don’t

error: Content is protected !!