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Eldeco Housing & Industries Ltd: 287% Bookings Growth but Still Struggling With Real Estate’s Old Curse


1. At a Glance

Eldeco Housing is the proud real estate uncle from Lucknow who has built 200+ projects but still manages to report profit margins that look like a diet chart gone wrong. Despite record bookings in FY24 (₹388 Cr, 287% YoY jump), the company’s latest quarterly profit fell 61%. Stock trades at a PE of 42, proving that even the market thinks “future promise” is more fun than “current numbers.”


2. Introduction

Founded in 1985, Eldeco Housing & Industries Ltd (EHIL) is part of the Eldeco Group—Lucknow’s answer to DLF. Unlike Mumbai builders who sell sky-high apartments with infinity pools, Eldeco prefers townships and affordable-to-mid housing in Tier II & III cities. Think Bareilly, Kanpur, and Lucknow, where launches are more about “plots” than “penthouses.”

The company has completed ~200 projects and currently has 32 under execution. Its portfolio ranges from residential group housing to commercial plazas and plotted developments. In FY24, they pulled off a record booking of 7.8 lakh sq ft worth ₹388 Cr—mainly from their Eldeco Imperia Phase 2 project, which was sold out in weeks. For perspective: that’s like putting samosas in front of college kids—gone in seconds.

Yet, despite strong demand, reported financials look weak. Sales CAGR for 5 years is under 1%. Profits have declined ~11% CAGR in the same period. So basically, Eldeco sells fast but accounts slow—classic real estate sector drama.


3. Business Model (WTF Do They Even Do?)

Eldeco Housing earns ~90% of revenue from real estate projects. Other bits include interest income (7%)—probably from clients’ late EMIs—and some miscellaneous operating income.

Their business model runs on:

  • Land Aggregation: Buying/acquiring land parcels (65+ acres in FY24) to keep future project pipeline alive.
  • Project Launches: Launching mid-income housing, plotted developments, and mixed-use projects.
  • Township Development: Large, multi-phase projects like Eldeco City, Imperia, and Shaurya.
  • Quick Monetisation: Focus on selling inventory fast at launch (Imperia 2 proved they can).
  • Lucknow-Centric Strategy: ~80% of projects revolve around Lucknow & nearby cities—geographical concentration = both strength and weakness.

So yes, they’re not “pan-India” like Lodha or Godrej. Eldeco is more like a regional kingpin of UP’s housing market.


4. Financials Overview

Quarterly Snapshot (Q1 FY26 vs Q1 FY25 & Q4 FY25)

Source table
MetricLatest Qtr (Jun ’25)YoY Qtr (Jun ’24)Prev Qtr (Mar ’25)YoY %QoQ %
Revenue₹28.7 Cr₹29.2 Cr₹36.7 Cr-1.7%-21.8%
EBITDA₹3.2 Cr₹9.4 Cr₹5.7 Cr-65.9%-43.9%
PAT₹3.1 Cr₹8.0 Cr₹3.2 Cr-60.8%-2.8%
EPS (₹)3.28.13.3-60.5%-3%
  • Annualised EPS = ~₹12.8.
  • CMP ₹710 → P/E ~55 (vs screener’s 41.6, thanks to TTM EPS).
  • OPM collapsed from 47% (FY22) to 15% in FY25.

Commentary: Bookings are booming, but accounting revenue recognition keeps quarterly numbers looking like a deflated balloon.


5. Valuation (Fair Value RANGE only)

Method 1 – P/E:
EPS TTM = ₹16.9. Assign fair multiple 20–25 (since peers trade ~40 but Eldeco is small/regional).
FV = ₹340 – ₹420.

Method 2 – EV/EBITDA:
EV = ₹686 Cr, EBITDA FY25 = ₹29 Cr → EV/EBITDA = 23.6. Peers ~20.
Fair EV = ~₹580 Cr → FV equity = ₹590/share.

Method 3 – DCF (back-of-envelope):
Assume 10% CAGR next 5 yrs (regional builder risk), WACC 12%, terminal growth 3%.
FV range ≈ ₹400 – ₹500.

👉 Fair Value Range: ₹340 – ₹500 (CMP ₹710 looks pricey).
“This FV range is for educational purposes only and is not investment advice.”


6. What’s Cooking – News, Triggers, Drama

  • Imperia 2 Success: Sold almost entire inventory within weeks. Clearly, Lucknow
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