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Bajaj Hindusthan Sugar Ltd – 93 Years Old, 93 Problems: How India’s Largest Sugar Mill Became a Debt-Fuelled Telenovela


1. At a Glance

Founded in 1931, Bajaj Hindusthan Sugar (BHSL) should’ve been India’s Coca-Cola of sweetness. Instead, it’s a ₹2,709 crore market cap sugar giant with 136,000 TCD crushing capacity, 800 KLPD ethanol, 449 MW power—and yet, the quarterly P&L reads like a daily soap script. Latest quarter? Sales ₹1,248 Cr, PAT -₹174 Cr. Promoters? Holding just 25%, fully pledged like a pawnshop special.


2. Introduction

Bajaj Hindusthan Sugar is the OG of Indian sugar. Incorporated when Gandhi still roamed the streets, this company has grown into the largest sugar producer in the country. On paper, it’s a powerhouse: 14 sugar mills, 6 distilleries, 14 cogeneration plants. In practice, it’s like a Punjabi wedding with too many relatives—lots of scale, but chaos in execution.

The company diverts millions of tonnes of cane for ethanol production, sells surplus power to the UP grid, and plays ball with government ethanol blending mandates. Sounds futuristic? Wait till you see their debt pile—₹3,575 Cr borrowings, ₹2,263 Cr contingent liability from OCD redemption premiums, and a history of flirting with insolvency.

Throw in 100% promoter shares pledged, CARE “D” rating (aka “default”), SBI dragging them to NCLT, and regular downgrades… this isn’t just a sugar company, it’s Bigg Boss: Corporate Edition.

So here’s the irony: the company makes sugar, but investors are left with ulcers.


3. Business Model – WTF Do They Even Do?

BHSL has three main verticals, all tightly linked to cane and government policies:

  • Sugar (76% revenue)
    14 factories, 14 MMT cane crushed in FY23, sugar recovery ~10% (low thanks to B-heavy molasses diversion). Basically, they sell diabetes in bulk.
  • Ethanol (11% revenue)
    167,649 KL ethanol produced in FY23. Sold almost all of it (163,370 KL). Ethanol blending is their “India Shining” story, though running plants only 250 days a year screams “seasonal jobs.”
  • Power (12% revenue)
    717 MUs generated, 171 MUs exported to UP grid. Good recurring business, but discom payments are slower than Doordarshan’s buffering speed.

Bonus: Investments in group companies like Lalitpur Power (1,980 MW) and Bajaj Energy. Translation: they burned thousands of crores in related-party adventures.

So what’s their actual business? Making sugar, selling ethanol, generating power, and over-leveraging. Basically, they’re like your friend who does crypto trading, Uber driving, and freelancing, but still asks for rent money.


4. Financials Overview

Quarterly Snapshot (₹ Cr):

MetricJun ’25Jun ’24Mar ’25YoY %QoQ %
Revenue1,2481,3861,554-9.9%-19.7%
EBITDA-2728286N.A.-109%
PAT-174-67220-160%-179%
EPS (₹)-1.36-0.521.72N.A.N.A.

Commentary: This is not financial reporting, this is a rollercoaster. One quarter +₹220 Cr, next quarter -₹174 Cr. Investors checking the results need Zandu balm.


5. Valuation – Fair Value Range Only

  • P/E Method: EPS TTM ~ -1.03 → Negative, so P/E not meaningful.
  • EV/EBITDA: EV ~₹6,210 Cr, EBITDA TTM ~₹235 Cr → EV/EBITDA ~26. Industry ~8–10 → Fair range ₹7–₹10.
  • DCF (Simplified): Assume normalised CFO ~₹300 Cr, growth 3%, WACC 13% → Value ~₹2,500–₹3,000 Cr → Per share ~₹18–₹22.

🎯 Fair Value

Eduinvesting Team

https://eduinvesting.in/

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