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Ashoka Buildcon Ltd: ₹16,457 Cr Order Book – Highways Banate Banate Balance Sheet Ka Flyover Bana Diya


1. At a Glance

Ashoka Buildcon Ltd (ABL) is that overachieving contractor friend — constructing highways, electrifying villages, laying optical fibre, and even winning projects in Guyana. Market cap ₹5,100 Cr, sales ₹9,458 Cr, PAT ₹1,761 Cr, but trading at a P/E of just 2.9 — cheaper than a Vadapav. Why? Because infra investors know one thing: big profits today, arbitration cases tomorrow.


2. Introduction

Founded in 1997, Ashoka Buildcon has built over 14,000 lane-km of highways, electrified 30,000 villages, and even executed India’s first 8-lane extra-dosed cable-stayed bridge. On paper, they look like the L&T of highways.

But scratch deeper: debt restructuring, asset sales worth thousands of crores, and GST department raids remind us that infra companies are less about construction and more about jugaad + debt management. Promoters still hold 54.5%, FIIs are nibbling, and DIIs are reducing. Investors? Stuck in toll traffic.


3. Business Model (WTF Do They Even Do?)

Three lanes in this highway business:

  1. Construction Contracts (63% of revenue): Highways, rail, power T&D, buildings. Bread-and-butter EPC jobs.
  2. BOT / HAM Concessions (28%): They were early birds in BOT toll roads. Today 21 projects live, with toll collection of ₹968 Cr in 9M FY25.
  3. Sale of Goods (9%): Ready-mix concrete + smart city projects. Basically, side hustle.

Clients: NHAI, Rail Vikas Nigam, state PWDs — aka the same babus who take forever to release payments.


4. Financials Overview

Quarterly (Q1 FY26 vs Q1 FY25 vs Q4 FY25):

MetricQ1 FY26Q1 FY25Q4 FY25YoY %QoQ %
Revenue₹1,887 Cr₹2,465 Cr₹2,694 Cr-23.5%-30%
EBITDA₹599 Cr₹599 Cr₹777 Cr0%-23%
PAT₹217 Cr₹158 Cr₹452 Cr+44.6%-52%
EPS (₹)7.75.415.4+42%-50%

👉 Annualised EPS ~₹31. At CMP ₹182, that’s a P/E of ~6. But FY25 full year EPS = ₹62.7 → actual P/E 2.9. Market thinks profits are inflated by asset sales.


5. Valuation (Fair Value RANGE Only)

  • P/E Method: EPS ₹62 × industry PE 15–20 → FV = ₹930 – ₹1,250.
  • EV/EBITDA: EV ₹6,723 Cr / EBITDA ₹3,110 Cr = 2.1×. Peers trade at 8–12×. FV = ₹600 – ₹800.
  • DCF: Assume 12% CAGR, 11% margin, discount 13%. FV = ₹400 – ₹650.

👉 Final FV Range = ₹400 – ₹900 (educational only). CMP ₹182 = dirt cheap… if profits are real.


6. What’s Cooking – News, Triggers, Drama

  • Asset Sales: Selling BOT assets worth ₹5,700 Cr (done) + ₹2,324 Cr (pending). By FY26, debt expected to halve.
  • Acquisitions: Bought back 34% in Ashoka Concessions from Macquarie for ₹1,526 Cr — then flipped other assets. This is infra arbitrage at its finest.
  • Projects: Won ₹500 Cr rail electrification
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