Alpex Solar Ltd: ₹1,334, P/E ~26 — The Solar Star That Grew 7x in 5 Years (Now Making Cells, Not Just Playing with Modules)


1. At a Glance

Alpex Solar is North India’s shining PV module maker—now foraying into solar cell manufacturing, pumps, EPC, IPP, and free‑air purifiers (yes, really). The stock trades at P/E ~26, with jaw‑dropping ROCE of 51.8% and ROE of 48.1%—clearly not your average solar stock.


2. Introduction

Founded in 2008, Alpex isn’t just selling panels—it’s selling the dream of integrated solar solutions: modules, frames, EPC, solar pumps, and soon, in-house solar cells. Over the past year alone, sales and profits have catapulted, pushing the stock to new highs. Let’s see if the solar empire holds.


3. Business Model (WTF Do They Even Do?)

Main Wings:

  • PV Modules (1.2 GW → expanding further)
  • EPC & IPP Projects
  • Solar Pumps (15,000+ installations)
  • Aluminum Frames (in-house manufacturing)
  • Green Hydrogen solutions (GH2)
  • Soon: Solar Cell Manufacturing (1.6 GW capex underway)

They’re basically the Swiss Army knife of solar hardware—diversified, ambitious, and not afraid of complexity.


4. Financials Overview

FY25 TTM:

Q1 FY26:

  • Order Book: ₹1,554 Cr
  • Plant Expansion: 1.2 GW module line + solar cell capacity

Fresh P/E:
EPS ~₹51 (₹125 Cr / shares). At CMP ₹1,334 → P/E ~26×, a significant premium in the solar universe.


5. Valuation (Fair Value Range)

MethodBasisMultipleValue (Cr)Per Share
P/EEPS ₹51 × 20–2520–25×₹2,550–2,900 Cr₹1,100–1,250
EV/EBITDAEBITDA ~₹186 Cr × 8–108–10×₹1,490–1,860 Cr₹640–800
DCF15% growth, 12% discount, 10 yrsConservative~₹2,200 Cr₹950

Fair Value: ₹1,100–₹1,250 range—high, but not absurd given the growth trajectory.


6. What’s Cooking – News & Growth Catalysts

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