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City Union Bank Q4 FY26: 26% Loan Growth, Gross NPA Falls To 1.91%, Yet Valuation Looks Surprisingly Ordinary

Sometimes the market hides dull-looking compounding machines in plain sight.

1. At a Glance — The Old Bank That Quietly Keeps Outperforming

There are banks that grow by taking risk. There are banks that grow by telling stories. And then there is City Union Bank, which seems to grow by doing something deeply unfashionable — boring banking, repeatedly.

Q4 FY26 results look deceptively simple: advances up 26%, deposits up 23%, PAT up 18% for the full year, Gross NPA down to 1.91%, Net NPA down to 0.68%, and return ratios nudging upward.

That looks clean.

Possibly too clean.

Because when a 120-year-old MSME-focused bank grows faster than industry, improves margins, improves asset quality, improves provisioning coverage, and still trades around ~15.7 times earnings, the obvious question is:

What is the market worried about?

That question is where the story starts.

The red flags are not absent.

  • CASA ratio has drifted from 31% to 27.3%.
  • Regional concentration in Tamil Nadu is still heavy.
  • Capital adequacy has come off from peak levels.
  • Credit costs are low — perhaps cyclically low.
  • And management transition always introduces uncertainty.

But then look at the other side.

  • Seven consecutive quarters of double-digit growth.
  • Recoveries exceeding slippages.
  • PCR up to 84% with technical write-offs.
  • Gold loans compounding 36% YoY.
  • 1,000th branch opened.
  • Ratings outlook turned Positive by CARE.

That does not look like a stressed regional bank.

That looks like a quietly compounding franchise.

And yet it trades almost at sector median.

Interesting.

Because usually markets overpay for “quality”. Here they may be underpaying because the bank does not advertise.

That itself is worth studying.


2. Introduction — Conservative Banking Can Be a Moat

Indian banking loves drama.

Retail lending booms.

Fintech disruption.

NIM panic.

Deposit wars.

Credit cycles.

And in the corner sits City Union, lending against collateral to traders, MSMEs and gold borrowers while pretending none of the drama exists.

It almost feels suspiciously old-school.

Its model is not glamorous.

No flashy unsecured consumer growth.

No corporate lending heroics.

No “super app” narrative.

Just secured lending, granular deposits and ruthless credit discipline.

That sounds dull.

Dull can be profitable.

Even management commentary almost sounded amused by the pace of growth — calling current loan growth among the strongest seen in decades.

And importantly, management appears to have walked the talk.

Earlier guidance:

  • Mid-high teen growth
  • Stable NIM
  • Lower slippages

Actual:

  • 26% advances growth
  • NIM 3.74%-3.87%
  • GNPA 1.91%

That is management walking the talk.

Rare species.

Question for readers:

How often do you see a bank promising conservative growth and then overdelivering without breaking underwriting?

Not often.


3. Business Model — What Do They Actually Do?

Very simplified:

They lend money to people who usually have collateral.

Mostly:

  • MSMEs (39%)
  • Agriculture (16%)
  • Gold loans (29% including agri + non-agri)
  • Trade financing
  • Small secured retail

This matters.

This is not unsecured consumption lending.

This is largely collateral-backed yield lending.

That changes risk math dramatically.

Their model is basically:

Take sticky retail deposits.

Lend mostly to secured borrowers.

Avoid large-ticket corporate accidents.

Collect spreads.

Repeat for 120 years.

Ridiculously simple.

Almost offensive to modern banking PowerPoints.

Gold loans are particularly interesting.

Gold loans now ₹19,459 crore and 29% of advances.

Gold loan NPA?

0.01%.

That almost looks made up.

But it is in the

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