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Dodla Dairy Limited Q3 FY26 Concall Decoded: ₹1,025 Cr Revenue, But Margins Feel the Winter Chill


1. Opening Hook

Winter came early this year. Not just for your wardrobe, but for milk margins too.

While everyone expected the flush season to flood dairies with cheaper milk, Dodla got a surprise bill instead. Procurement costs went up. Value-added products felt the winter blues. And bulk sales? Practically vanished.

Yet, the company still served up ₹1,025 crore in revenue and held margins above panic levels. Africa flexed. OSAM behaved. Maharashtra is being prepped like a launchpad.

But here’s the real twist — no price hikes yet.

Management chose market share over margin comfort. Brave? Risky? Or perfectly timed?

Read on. Because when summer hits, so might the pricing power. And that’s where things get interesting.


2. At a Glance

  • Revenue ₹1,025 Cr (+13.7%) – Growth intact, winter tried but failed.
  • EBITDA ₹79 Cr (7.7%) – Margins felt the cold wind.
  • Gross Margin 26% (vs 28.2%) – Procurement costs drank the cream.
  • PAT ₹69 Cr (6.7%) – Tax reversal saved the day.
  • Milk Procurement Cost ₹39.8/L – Up ₹2.5 sequentially, thanks to erratic rains.
  • Africa Revenue +35% YoY – Uganda & Kenya carrying the global ambition.
  • Bulk Sales ~Zero – From ₹72 Cr last year to negligible. Intentional detox.

3. Management’s Key Commentary

“We registered a top line of ₹1,025 crores with 13.75% growth.”
(Translation: Growth engine still works, even when the weather doesn’t.)

“Procurement costs increased by ₹2.5 per liter sequentially.”
(Milk got expensive. Customers didn’t. That’s the squeeze. 😏)

“The increase in cost was not fully passed on owing to subdued winter demand.”
(We could raise prices. We chose not to. Market share > margins… for now.)

“Bulk sales of SMP and butter dropped to negligible levels.”
(Commodity trading is out. Branded milk is the main act.)

“Africa delivered 34.5% YoY growth.”
(When India sneezes, Uganda says ‘hold my yogurt.’ 🌍)

“We secured 70 acres in Uganda for greenfield expansion.”
(Planting more than just grass. Planting future EBITDA.)

“Value-added products grew from 23% to 25%.”
(Quiet compounding. Paneer and curd inching forward.)

“We expect margins to remain in 8–9% range over time.”
(Short-term frost, long-term thermostat unchanged.)


4. Numbers Decoded

MetricQ3 FY26Q3 FY25What It Means
Revenue₹1,025 Cr₹901 CrDouble-digit growth sustained
Gross Margin26%28.2%Procurement pressure visible
EBITDA₹79 Cr₹~80 Cr+Flat-ish in % terms
PAT₹69 CrLowerTax reversal boosted optics
Procurement Cost₹39.8/L₹35.6/LRaw milk inflation real
Africa Revenue₹133 Cr₹98 Cr35% YoY jump
Orgafeed EBITDA (9M)₹17.6 Cr₹13 Cr33% growth

Quick take: Revenue growing. Margins surviving. Africa accelerating. Commodity exposure minimized.


5. Analyst Questions

Q: When will price hikes come?
A: Likely when summer demand kicks in. Translation — February/March weather decides pricing power.

Q: Is value-added mix improving?
A: Yes. 23% to 25%. Paneer moving from 1 ton to 3–4 tons daily. Slow but steady.

Q: What about El Niño risk?
A: If summer turns brutal, prices go up. No heroism beyond a point.

Q: Maharashtra ramp-up plan?
A: 5 LLPD procurement target. ₹500–600 Cr potential revenue in Year 1.

Q: Africa margins?
Uganda higher than Kenya by ~200–300 bps. Combined engine working well.


6. Guidance & Outlook

  • EBITDA margin range: 8–9% sustainable.
  • Q4: Likely similar margin band. Minor pressure from HR
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