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TD Power Systems Q3 FY26: ₹11.94bn 9M Revenue, 41% PAT Surge, ₹18.45bn Order Book & 75% Export Mix – Is ₹2,200+ Cr FY27 Just the Warm-Up?


1. At a Glance – Turbocharged and Slightly Arrogant

Stock Price: ₹911
Market Cap: ₹14,229 Cr
Stock P/E: 64.8
ROCE: 30.4%
ROE: 22.3%
Debt to Equity: 0.04 (translation: almost zero debt)
3-Month Return: 16%
1-Year Return: 165%
Q3 FY26 Sales: ₹443 Cr
Q3 FY26 PAT: ₹56.3 Cr
9M FY26 Revenue (Standalone): ₹11.94bn
9M FY26 PAT (Standalone): ₹1.54bn
Order Book: ₹18.45bn

This is not a sleepy capital goods stock. This is a company that quietly doubled its order backlog in 24 months, stopped hedging currency because the CFO decided the rupee would fall (bold move), and is now guiding ₹2,200+ crore revenue for FY27.

Exports? 75% of the manufacturing order book (excluding railways).
Q3 Order Inflow? ₹6.56bn. Record.
Hydro vertical? Set for best year ever.
Plant 3? Operational.

But here’s the spicy bit: It’s trading at 64.8 times earnings.

So is this a compounding machine? Or are we paying Ferrari prices for a generator company?

Let’s plug in.


2. Introduction – From Loss-Maker to Powerhouse

There was a time when TD Power Systems was flirting with losses. FY16–FY18 was not Instagram-worthy.

Now?

Operating margins at 18%.
ROCE at 30%.
Exports dominating.
Cash ₹1.93bn.

The company manufactures AC generators and motors. But don’t let that bore you. This is not just “electrical equipment.” It’s sitting at the intersection of:

  • Gas turbine growth
  • Data centre backup power
  • Grid stabilization
  • Steam turbine industrial growth
  • Hydro refurbishment
  • Railway traction motors

And management is unusually confident.

They’ve already crossed ₹1,800 Cr annualized run rate and are openly calling ₹2,200+ Cr for FY27 “conservative.”

Conservative? In capital goods?

Either they’re seeing something big… or they’re very brave.

So what exactly do they make that’s causing this surge?


3. Business Model – WTF Do They Even Do?

TD Power Systems manufactures AC generators from 1 MW to 250 MVA.

Where do these go?

  • Gas turbines
  • Steam turbines
  • Hydro projects
  • Diesel engines
  • Data centres
  • Railways
  • Steel plants
  • Biomass
  • Waste heat recovery

Revenue Mix FY24:

  • AC Generators –
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