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Solex Energy Ltd Q3 FY26: ₹3,194 Mn Revenue (+135% YoY), ₹89 Mn PAT, 4 GW Capacity & ₹40,000 Mn Order Book — Solar Rocket or Margin Meltdown?


1. At a Glance – Solar Speedbreaker or Solar Supercycle?

Solex Energy Ltd is currently priced at ₹1,037, carrying a market cap of ₹1,120 Cr, and trading at a P/E of 24 in an industry where the median P/E is ~34 and giants are flirting with triple digits.

In Q3 FY26 (December 2025 quarter), the company reported:

  • Revenue: ₹3,194 Mn (₹319.4 Cr)
  • PAT: ₹89 Mn (₹8.9 Cr)
  • Revenue Growth: +135% YoY
  • PAT Growth: -40.4% YoY (as per screen summary)
  • ROE: 38.7%
  • ROCE: 28.2%
  • Debt to Equity: 1.63
  • 3-Month Return: -45.9%

Yes, you read that right. Sales doubled. Profits slipped. Stock fell 46% in three months.

Welcome to solar manufacturing — where the sun shines, but margins sometimes evaporate faster than water in Rajasthan.

The company now operates 4 GW module capacity, has an order book exceeding ₹40,000 Mn (₹4,000 Cr), and is guiding ₹1,700–1,800 Cr revenue for FY26.

So what’s happening? Is this a temporary ramp-up hiccup or the beginning of a capacity-led debt marathon?

Let’s investigate.


2. Introduction – Solar Dreams, Fixed Costs & Monsoon Drama

Solex started in 1995 making solar water heaters. Now it talks about Rear Contact modules, TOPCon tech, 10 GW integration by 2030, and BESS revolution.

That escalated quickly.

The big event this year:
Commercial production began at the 2.2 GW Tadkeshwar plant in November 2025.

But here’s the twist.

The plant started incurring depreciation, interest, and overheads immediately. Revenue ramp-up lagged because:

  • Monsoon delayed production start
  • Customer sites weren’t ready
  • Dispatches were inspection-dependent

Result?

Fixed costs came first. Revenue came later. Margins got squeezed.

Management says Q4 will normalize margins via operating leverage.

But dear reader — when a company says “operating leverage will normalize,” it means:
“Please wait one more quarter.”

Are we patient?


3. Business Model – WTF Do They Even Do?

Solex is in three businesses:

1️ Solar Module Manufacturing

They produce Mono PERC and N-Type TOPCon modules up to 750 Wp.
New flagship: TAPI Rear Contact module (665W, 24.60% efficiency).

2️ EPC (Engineering, Procurement, Construction)

They design and execute solar plants — residential rooftops, C&I, utility scale.

3️ OEM/ODM Manufacturing

They manufacture modules for global brands like:

  • Jinko (India manufacturing)
  • Longi clients

So they’re not just selling to IPPs — they’re contract manufacturing too.

Their Surat facility:

  • 1.5 GW operational
  • 2.5 GW testing commissioned
  • Total current capacity: 4 GW
  • Target: 10 GW by 2030

Plus, they plan:

  • 2 GW solar cell manufacturing line (₹1,200 Cr capex)
  • Additional module lines (₹190 Cr + ₹200 Cr)
  • Working capital ₹100 Cr
  • Total projected capex: ₹1,500 Cr

That’s not expansion.

That’s solar ambition on steroids.

Question:
Can cash flows support this?

Hold that thought.


4. Financials Overview – Q3 FY26 Breakdown

For Q3 FY26 (Dec 2025):

Revenue: ₹3,194 Mn
PAT: ₹89 Mn
EPS: ₹7.62

EPS:

  • Q1 FY26 (Jun 2025): ₹20.80
  • Q2 FY26 (Sep 2025): ₹3.15
  • Q3 FY26 (Dec 2025): ₹7.62

Average = (20.80 + 3.15 + 7.62) / 3 = ₹10.52
Annualised EPS = ₹10.52 × 4 = ₹42.08

Recalculated P/E:
₹1,037 / ₹42.08 ≈ 24.6

Matches screener P/E of 24. Good.

Q3 Comparison Table (Figures in ₹ Mn)

MetricLatest Qtr (Dec’25)YoY (Sep’24)Prev Qtr (Sep’25)YoY %QoQ %
Revenue3,179.91,317.51,486.1141%114%
EBITDA250.8144.0155.374%61%
PAT82.391.334.0-10%142%
EPS (₹)7.628.453.15-10%142%

Revenue exploded.
Profit YoY dipped.
QoQ

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