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SJVN Ltd Q3 FY26: ₹1,082 Cr Revenue, ₹224 Cr Profit, 71% OPM – But Debt at ₹29,567 Cr. Powerhouse or Power Hungry?

1. At a Glance – Hydropower Royalty with Thermal Ambitions

SJVN Ltd is trading at ₹76.7 with a market cap of ₹30,130 Cr and a P/E of 47.6. In Q3 FY26 (Dec 2025), it reported revenue of ₹1,082 Cr and PAT of ₹224 Cr, delivering a juicy 71% operating margin. Sounds like a royalty cheque from the Himalayas, right?

But wait. Debt stands at ₹29,567 Cr. Debt-to-equity is 2.03. Interest coverage is 2.13. ROE is just 5.81%.

So here’s the paradox:
High margin. Low return ratios. Rising debt. Aggressive expansion.

Meanwhile, the stock is down 8% in 3 months and 14% in one year. Dividend yield sits at 1.9%, and promoter holding is a heavyweight 81.8%.

Navaratna status in August 2024 gave it a shiny badge. But the balance sheet? That’s lifting weights.

Is this India’s next green energy juggernaut?
Or a PSU expanding faster than its profits?

Let’s open the dam gates.


2. Introduction – When Water Meets Bureaucracy

SJVN began as Satluj Jal Vidyut Nigam – basically a government-owned machine to convert Himalayan rivers into electricity and regulated returns.

Hydro power was its comfort zone. Predictable PPAs. State electricity boards. Stable cash flows. A PSU dream.

Then came the ambition.

Now the company wants:

  • 25,000 MW capacity by 2030
  • 50,000 MW by 2040

Currently under construction: 4,936 MW across 16 projects.

Translation? This isn’t a sleepy hydro PSU anymore. It’s a capex monster.

It is:

  • Building 1,320 MW thermal in Buxar
  • Constructing 2,058 MW solar
  • Signing MoUs for 5 GW pumped storage
  • Launching floating solar
  • Trading power

Basically, SJVN woke up one morning and said, “Let’s do everything.”

But expansion costs money.

And in PSU land, money usually means debt.

Here’s the key question:
Can SJVN grow into its ambition before interest expense eats the profits?

Because in FY25 TTM, profit growth is -31%.

That’s not exactly fireworks.


3. Business Model – WTF Do They Even Do?

Let’s simplify.

SJVN generates electricity and sells it under long-term Power Purchase Agreements (PPAs). About 98% of operational capacity is tied up under long-term agreements. That means revenue visibility is strong.

Segments:

Hydro Power

Installed: 1,972 MW
Projects include Nathpa Jhakri, Rampur, Naitwar Mori.
Under construction: 1,558 MW.

Hydro is their bread and butter.

Renewable Energy

494 MW operational.
2,058 MW under construction.
Major milestone: 1,000 MW Bikaner Solar COD in Dec 2025 (₹5,492 Cr project).

Solar, wind, floating solar — they’re not missing the renewable party.

Thermal Power

1,320 MW Buxar project.
660 MW Unit-1 achieved COD in Nov 2025.

Hydro company doing thermal. Why? Because growth.

Power Transmission & Trading

Transmission lines including cross-border India-Nepal.
Category “I” license for inter-state trading.
Traded 78 Mn units in FY24.

In short, SJVN is becoming a vertically integrated PSU power conglomerate.

But the real question is:
Are they masters of all?
Or stretching themselves thin?


4. Financials Overview – The Quarterly Heat Check

Q3 EPS = ₹0.57

Annualised EPS (Average of Q1, Q2, Q3 × 4):
(0.58 + 0.78 + 0.57) / 3 × 4
= 0.643 × 4
= ₹2.57 approx.

Current price: ₹76.7
Recalculated P/E = 76.7 / 2.57 ≈ 29.8

That’s much lower than trailing 47.6 shown.

Quarterly Comparison (₹ Cr)

MetricLatest Qtr (Dec 2025)YoY Qtr (Dec 2024)Prev Qtr (Sep 2025)YoY %QoQ %
Revenue1,0826711,03261.2%4.8%
EBITDA77346486066.6%-10.1%
PAT22414930850.3%-27.3%
EPS (₹)0.570.380.7850.0%-26.9%

Observations:

  • Massive YoY jump.
  • QoQ softness.
  • EBITDA margin still fat at 71%.
  • Interest expense rising (₹245 Cr this quarter).

Here’s the spicy bit:
Revenue is rising.
Profit is volatile.
Interest is climbing.

Is this growth or leverage gymnastics?


5. Valuation Discussion – Fair Value Range Only

Method 1: P/E Based

Annualised EPS ≈ ₹2.57

Industry median P/E: 27

Fair Value Range = 2.57 × 22 to 30
= ₹56 to ₹77

Method 2: EV/EBITDA

EV = ₹56,639 Cr
EBITDA TTM = ₹2,581 Cr

EV/EBITDA = 20.2

If sector average assumed around 14–18:

Fair EV range = 2,581 × 14 to 18
= ₹36,134 Cr to ₹46,458 Cr

Adjusting for net debt (~₹29,567 Cr), equity value range roughly implies moderate upside/downside around CMP.

Method 3: DCF (Simplified Educational Model)

Assume:

  • 8% revenue growth
  • Stable margins
  • 10% discount rate

Fair range roughly falls between ₹60–₹85.

Educational Fair Value Range: ₹56 – ₹85

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