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Nimbus Projects Ltd Q3 FY26: ₹2.26 Cr Sales, ₹-41 Cr PAT, ₹221 Cr Debt & 4,948% OPM Whiplash — Realty Turnaround or Accounting Yoga?


1. At a Glance – The Plot Thickens (Literally)

Nimbus Projects Ltd is currently trading at ₹211, with a market cap of ₹407 Cr, and has delivered a spicy –25.7% return in the last 3 months. The company operates in the glamorous but dangerous world of NCR real estate — where dreams are sold in square feet and stress is delivered in loan agreements.

Latest quarterly numbers?
Q3 FY26 (Dec 2025):

  • Sales: ₹2.26 Cr
  • PAT: ₹–41.22 Cr
  • EPS: ₹–21.20
  • Debt: ₹221 Cr
  • ROCE: 8.30%
  • ROE: 8.26%
  • Price to Book: 1.42
  • TTM Sales: ₹11.4 Cr
  • TTM PAT: ₹–170 Cr
  • TTM EPS: ₹–131.98

Yes, you read that correctly. A ₹407 Cr company generating ₹2 Cr quarterly revenue and ₹170 Cr trailing losses.

And yet, promoter holding just jumped to 70.5%.

Question: Is this a phoenix waiting to rise — or just smoke without fire?

Let’s investigate.


2. Introduction – Welcome to the NCR Property Drama Club

Nimbus Projects Ltd was incorporated in 1993 and operates in the real estate segment, developing residential, commercial, and retail projects. But unlike the big boys, Nimbus plays in the SPV-heavy, authority-leased land model of NOIDA, GNIDA and Yamuna Expressway Authority.

They’ve been allotted approximately 2,65,000 sq. meters of leasehold land through SPVs.

Sounds impressive.

But here’s the twist — revenue today is tiny, while balance sheet liabilities are massive.

This is classic NCR developer storytelling:

  • Projects launched
  • Flats sold
  • Authorities involved
  • Loans taken
  • Exceptional items reversed
  • CFO resigns
  • New CFO appointed
  • More loans taken

You see the pattern?

In Q3 FY26, the company approved results showing Rs 350 Cr LOI, Rs 278.97 Cr invested, and net worth of Rs 191.79 Cr.

But income statement? Still struggling.

Real estate is lumpy. But this looks less like lumpy and more like seismic activity.

Are we watching a revival… or just financial reshuffling?

Let’s decode.


3. Business Model – WTF Do They Even Do?

Nimbus develops residential flats via SPVs under NOIDA and Yamuna Expressway authorities.

Their projects include:

Residential:

  • Express Park View I & II
  • The Golden Palms
  • The Hyde Park
  • The Golden Palm Village

Commercial:

  • The Hyde Park Plaza
  • The Park Street
  • Pearls Business Park
  • Golden Palms Downtown

Now here’s how the model works:

  1. Authority allots land on long-term lease
  2. SPV formed
  3. Project launched
  4. Pre-sales generate cash
  5. Loans fill the gaps
  6. Completion certificate arrives
  7. Revenue recognition eventually happens

Recently:

  • Q3 presales: ₹147.58 Cr
  • Collections: ₹75.87 Cr
  • Completion certificate for 310 flats (Jan 28, 2026)
  • 1,539 of 1,630 flats sold

So operationally — projects are moving.

But accounting profits? Not yet stable.

Revenue breakup FY22:

  • Supervision & consultancy: 43%
  • Renting: 17%
  • Sale of residential: 6%
  • Other income: 34%

Wait… only 6% from property sales?

Is this a developer or a consultancy with a construction hobby?


4. Financials Overview – The Real Drama

Quarterly Comparison (₹ Crores)

MetricLatest Qtr (Dec 25)YoY Qtr (Dec 24)Prev Qtr (Sep 25)YoY %QoQ %
Revenue2240%-50%
EBITDA-231086NA-483%
PAT-415320-177%-305%
EPS (₹)-21.2049.349.04NANA

Now hold your coffee.

In Dec 2024, they showed ₹53 Cr profit.

In Dec 2025 — ₹41 Cr loss.

That is a ₹94 Cr swing in one year.

Q1 (Jun 25): ₹–14.90
Q2 (Sep 25): ₹9.04
Q3 (Dec 25): ₹–21.20

Average = (–14.90 + 9.04 – 21.20) / 3 = –9.02

Annualised EPS = –9.02 × 4 = –36.08

Current price ₹211
Implied P/E? Negative.

So valuation is based on book value and future expectations — not earnings.

Question: Are we pricing hope?


5. Valuation Discussion – Fair Value Range Only

Since earnings are negative, we use adjusted framework.

1️ P/E Method (Normalized)

Assume future stabilized EPS returns to FY25 level: ₹58.06

Industry median PE: ~30

Fair value range:
₹58 × 25 to ₹58 × 30
= ₹1,450 to ₹1,740

BUT this assumes earnings normalization — currently not happening.


2️ EV/EBITDA

Enterprise Value = ₹612 Cr

EBITDA (TTM): Negative ₹212 Cr

EV/EBITDA: –3.19

Not meaningful currently.

If EBITDA normalizes to ₹70–100 Cr:

612 / 70 = 8.7x

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