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TGV Sraac Ltd Q3 FY26: ₹448 Cr Revenue, ₹28 Cr PAT, 7.66 P/E — Chlor-Alkali Veteran or Cyclical Time Bomb?


1. At a Glance – Chemical Cycle Ka Rollercoaster 🎢

TGV Sraac Ltd is currently trading at ₹90 with a market cap of ₹963 crore. In the last 3 months, the stock has fallen nearly 20%. Over 6 months? Down 28%. Over 1 year? Down 10%. Basically, the market has not exactly been sending love letters.

And yet…

  • Stock P/E: 7.66
  • Industry P/E: 20.1
  • Price to Book: 0.77
  • ROCE: 10.4%
  • ROE: 8.01%
  • Debt to Equity: 0.24
  • EV/EBITDA: 3.38
  • Dividend Yield: 1.11%

Latest Q3 FY26 numbers:

  • Revenue: ₹448 crore
  • PAT: ₹28.1 crore
  • Quarterly profit up 17.9% YoY

Low valuation. Improving quarterly profits. Book value ₹117 vs price ₹90.

So is this a hidden chlor-alkali gem… or just another cyclical chemical stock that shines once every three years and then disappears into the fog?

Let’s investigate.


2. Introduction – From Caustic Soda to Corporate Drama

Founded in 1981, TGV Sraac Ltd (formerly Sree Rayalaseema Alkalies and Allied Chemicals Ltd) is not a new kid in the chemical lab.

This is the flagship of the TGV Group. ISO-certified. Chlor-alkali focused. Castor derivatives on the side. Even runs power plants.

Sounds stable, right?

Well… chemicals are never boring.

The company operates in:

  • Caustic soda
  • Caustic potash
  • Chloromethanes
  • Castor oil derivatives
  • Fatty acids
  • Toilet soaps (yes, from industrial chlorine to bathing soap — full journey)

It sells mostly in India (97% domestic), exports only 3%.

But here’s where it gets spicy:

  • Oils & fats division scaled down due to thin margins
  • Transformer failure in Oct 2025 causing 60 days of production loss
  • Wind mill decommissioned
  • Caustic soda expansion approved for ₹350 crore
  • Solar expansion ₹120 crore
  • Chloromethane second expansion commissioned

This company is not sleeping.

But are these expansions happening at the right time in the chemical cycle?

Or are we building new capacity in a soft pricing environment?


3. Business Model – WTF Do They Even Do?

Let me explain like you’re a smart investor who skipped chemistry in 12th.

Step 1: They make caustic soda.

Caustic soda is used in:

  • Textiles
  • Paper
  • Soaps
  • Alumina
  • Water treatment
  • Fertilizers
  • Pharma

Basically, if India manufactures something, caustic soda is somewhere in that story.

Step 2: They make chloromethanes.

Used in refrigerants, pharma, agrochemicals.

Step 3: They make castor derivatives and fatty acids.

Used in soaps and consumer products.

Step 4: They generate power (solar + wind + thermal earlier).

They operate B2B. No flashy brands. No advertising budgets. Just industrial supply.

Revenue Mix FY23:

  • Chemicals: 95%
  • Oils & Fats: 5%

Product Mix FY23:

  • Caustic Soda: 58%
  • Caustic Potash: 16%
  • Methylene Chloride: 11%
  • Chloroform: 5%
  • Others: Balance

So 60% business depends on caustic soda.

And if you know chemical cycles, you know one thing:

Caustic soda prices move like Indian cricket fans’ emotions.

Up one quarter. Down next quarter. Panic everywhere.

Are we currently in an upcycle or a recovery phase?

Let’s see numbers.


4. Financials Overview – The Truth Table

Q1 FY26 EPS = 3.62
Q2 FY26 EPS = 3.46
Q3 FY26 EPS = 2.62

Average EPS (Q1–Q3) = (3.62 + 3.46 + 2.62) / 3 = 3.23
Annualised EPS = 3.23 × 4 = ₹12.92

Current price ₹90
Recalculated P/E = 90 / 12.92 ≈ 6.96

Lower than reported 7.66. Interesting.

Quarterly Comparison Table (₹ Crore)

MetricLatest Q3 FY26Q3 FY25Q2 FY26YoY %QoQ %
Revenue448455500-1.5%-10.4%
EBITDA77569337.5%-17.2%
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