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Zodiac Energy Ltd Q3 FY26 – ₹138 Cr Revenue, ₹5.07 Cr PAT, 27.5% ROE and a Balance Sheet That’s Sweating Under Solar Panels


1. At a Glance – Blink and You’ll Miss the Volatility

Zodiac Energy Ltd (ZEL) is that classic Indian solar EPC story: strong revenue growth, decent profitability, respectable ROE, and a stock chart that looks like it forgot its own password. Market cap sits at ~₹457 Cr, stock price around ₹302, down ~35% over one year despite sales growth of ~47% CAGR over 3 years. Q3 FY26 revenue came in at ₹137.56 Cr (YoY +31.8%), but PAT slipped ~11% YoY to ₹5.07 Cr. ROE is a spicy 27.5%, ROCE ~20%, but debt-to-equity is sitting at a gym-bro level of 1.76. Promoters still hold ~69.9%, with ~16.9% pledged—because nothing says “renewable energy” like a little leverage stress.

So the obvious question: is this a clean solar compounding story… or an EPC treadmill powered by working capital loans?


2. Introduction – From Rooftops to Rollercoasters

Founded in 1992, Zodiac Energy is not a new-age solar startup born on LinkedIn. It’s an old-school EPC player that slowly morphed into a solar solutions provider when the sun started paying better than diesel gensets. From residential rooftops to C&I projects and ground-mounted captive plants, ZEL has done a bit of everything—design, supply, installation, commissioning, and O&M.

They claim 10,000+ customers and over 100 MW installed capacity till FY22, which in EPC terms is respectable, not legendary. The company has also been adventurous—adding EVs, energy storage, desalination, Li-ion batteries, and EV chargers to its “future-ready” slide deck.

But here’s the twist: 99% of FY23 revenue came from sale of goods, not services. This is not a high-margin SaaS-in-solar story. This is a project execution business with all its joys—lumpy revenues, margin pressure, and working capital yoga.


3. Business Model – WTF Do They Even Do?

Think of Zodiac Energy as a solar contractor with ambitions.

They bid for projects, procure modules/inverters, execute EPC, and pray that receivables come back before interest eats margins. Their core segments:

  • Residential rooftop solar
  • Commercial & Industrial rooftop
  • Ground-mounted captive projects

They also do O&M, but that’s more like chutney—not the main dish. EPC drives revenue, EPC drives stress, EPC drives debt.

The client list is solid—Amul, SBI, L&T, ISRO, Torrent Power, Toyota. This reduces counterparty risk, but doesn’t eliminate payment delays. EPC players don’t die from lack of orders; they die from slow cash collections.

So ask yourself: is Zodiac an energy solutions company—or a working capital finance company with solar panels attached?


4. Financials Overview – The Numbers Don’t Lie, But They Do Smirk

Quarterly Comparison Table (₹ Cr)

MetricLatest Qtr (Dec’25)YoY Qtr (Dec’24)Prev Qtr (Sep’25)YoY %QoQ %
Revenue137.56104.3396.7831.8%42.1%
EBITDA13.6910.3310.2832.5%33.1%
PAT5.075.712.68-11.2%89.2%
EPS (₹)3.353.781.77-11.4%89.3%

Annualised EPS (Q3 Rule):
Average of Q1, Q2, Q3 FY26 EPS = (1.78 + 1.77 + 3.35) / 3 = 2.30
Annualised EPS ≈ ₹9.2

Margins are stable, growth is visible, but PAT volatility is real—thanks interest and depreciation saying hello together.

Would you trust this earnings stream to be smooth?


5. Valuation Discussion – Fair Value Range Only

Method 1: P/E

Annualised EPS ~₹9.2
Industry P/E ~18–22
Fair value range: ₹165 – ₹200

Method 2: EV/EBITDA

EV ≈ ₹616 Cr
TTM EBITDA ≈ ₹51 Cr
Current EV/EBITDA ≈ 12x
Fair range for EPC solar: 8–10x → EV ₹400–510 Cr
Implied equity value: ₹220 – ₹270

Method 3: DCF (Simplified, Conservative)

Assuming mid-teens growth tapering, higher WACC due to debt
Indicative band: ₹190 – ₹240

Fair Value Range (Educational): ₹180 – ₹260
This fair value range is for educational purposes only and is not investment advice.


6. What’s Cooking – News, Triggers, Drama

Recent developments include:

  • Q3 FY26 results approved with ₹137.56 Cr revenue
  • Agreement to install a 10.8 MWp captive solar plant for Amanta Healthcare
  • Acquisition of stakes
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