Saregama India Q3 FY26 — ₹2,604 mn Revenue, ₹512 mn PAT, But Stock Down 40% YoY… Is India’s Music King Singing Off-Key?


1. At a Glance

Ladies and gentlemen, please welcome India’s musical dinosaur that somehow learned Instagram reels — Saregama India. Market cap sits at ₹6,318 Cr, stock price around ₹328, and the share has politely destroyed investor portfolios with a ~40% fall over the last year and ~27.6% drop in just 3 months. Imagine buying a music company and getting a heartbreak album for free.

Latest Q3 FY26 results show Revenue ₹2,604 mn, PAT ₹512 mn, and EPS ₹2.66. Meanwhile, the company trades at a recalculated P/E of ~36, almost matching the industry median of ~36.1 — which means the market is basically saying: “We believe you… but not fully.”

Return ratios?
ROCE: 17.2%
ROE: 12.5%

Debt? Practically zero — only ₹3.08 Cr. This company owes less money than your average Mumbai wedding.

But here’s the real masala — despite owning roughly 50% of all music ever recorded in India, the stock has been acting like a forgotten cassette tape.

So the big question:

Is Saregama quietly building the Spotify-era empire… or just remixing old songs while competitors drop chartbusters?

Let’s press play.


2. Introduction

Saregama is not just old — it is 1902 old. When this company started, people were probably arguing whether electricity was a fad.

Formerly known as Gramophone Company of India and later HMV, the firm has reinvented itself multiple times — from vinyl to cassette to CDs to streaming to YouTube monetization.

And unlike many legacy companies that retired gracefully into dividend-paying grandpas, Saregama decided to become a pure-play content company.

Translation:
Instead of selling devices, they want to own the songs, films, and IP that everyone consumes.

Smart move.

Because in entertainment, content is not king — it is the entire kingdom.

Since 2017, the company has tried to become cool again with:

  • Carvaan — a retro audio player that millennials buy for their parents and secretly enjoy.
  • Yoodlee Films — content production.
  • Aggressive digital expansion.
  • Acquisition strategy targeting young audiences.

Yet the market hasn’t exactly showered them with confetti recently.

Why?

Because growth slowed, stock corrected, and expectations rose faster than a Bollywood climax.

But here’s where things get interesting…

The company is doubling down on new music investments (~₹1,000 Cr over 3 years) and expanding video IP.

Now ask yourself:

Is this the calm before the next growth concert… or just background elevator music?


3. Business Model — WTF Do They Even Do?

Imagine owning songs from Kishore Kumar to Arijit Singh.

That’s basically Saregama.

The company operates across three main verticals:


🎵 Music (Primary Money Machine — ~77%)

This includes licensing and artist management.

They own 150,000+ songs across 23+ languages

and partner with:

  • 65+ licensing platforms
  • 30+ streaming platforms
  • 20+ broadcasting platforms
  • 8+ social media platforms

Basically, wherever music plays — Saregama collects rent.

In FY24 alone, they added:

  • 1,200+ originals
  • 8,600+ derivatives

And here’s a subtle but important shift:

👉 52% of licensing revenue now comes from 21st-century songs.

Meaning they are not just milking old classics — they are building future royalties.

Smart.

Very smart.


🎤 Artist Management

150+ influencers/artists with 100 Mn+ followers.

This is vertical integration — own the talent → create IP → monetize forever.

Netflix does it. Disney does it.

Saregama is trying.

Will it succeed? Time will tell.


📻 Retail — Carvaan

Sold 6.9 lakh units in FY24.

The company is cutting SKUs, reducing marketing spend, and moving sales online.

Translation:
Stop behaving like an electronics company. Start behaving like an IP company.

Finally.


🎬 Video Content (~23%)

  • 75+ films
  • 45+ digital series
  • 6,000+ hours of TV content

They expect 25% CAGR here over 4–5 years.

Ambitious.

But entertainment is a hit-driven business — one flop can erase profits faster than a bad IPL auction.

So let’s ask:

Are they building a Marvel… or a box-office disaster waiting to happen?


4. Financials Overview

Average EPS = (1.90 + 2.27 + 2.66) / 3 = ~2.28
Annualised EPS = ~₹9.12

Recalculated P/E = 328 / 9.12 ≈ 36


Quarterly Comparison (₹ Crores)

MetricLatest Qtr (Dec 2025)YoY Qtr (Dec 2024)Prev Qtr (Sep 2025)YoY %QoQ %
Revenue260483230-46%13%
EBITDA92846910%33%
PAT516244-18%16%
EPS (₹)2.663.232.27-18%17%

Commentary

Revenue collapsed YoY — probably the kind of drop that makes CFOs stare silently at Excel sheets.

But margins improved.

Classic content business behavior:

👉 Revenue volatile
👉 Profitability resilient

So here’s the million-rupee question:

Would you rather own a stable manufacturer… or a royalty machine?


5. Valuation Discussion — Fair Value Range

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