Greenpanel Industries Q2 & H1 FY26 Concall Decoded: “Volumes Party in Bali, Margins Still Stuck at Immigration”

– Domestic MDF volumes jumped 30.5% YoY… but realizations slipped. Because life must stay balanced.

1. Opening Hook

Greenpanel kicked off the concall boasting about a Bali trip to energize distributors — because nothing says “margin improvement” like beaches and cocktails. The real surprise? Q2 actually delivered a turnaround after a painful Q1, helped by aggressive branding, product launches, and a sales team that clearly wanted another Bali outing.

But before investors could sip their coconut water in peace, management casually dropped a 40-crore forex MTM blow and chemical costs still refusing to calm down. The MDF party is back, but the DJ is playing with fluctuating FX rates.

Read on — the plot thickens faster than MDF resin.

2. At a Glance

  • Domestic MDF volumes +30.5%– Sales team clearly returned from Bali with motivation.
  • Realizations -4% YoY– Growth bhi aur discount bhi.
  • Plywood volumes -5% YoY– But sequential recovery of 18% saved face.
  • Revenue up 17.1% YoY– Volumes doing the heavy lifting.
  • Operating EBITDA at 10.2% (ex-FX)– Good… until euro decided to moonwalk.
  • FX impact ₹12.5 cr in Q2, ₹40 cr in H1– Euro MTM said “main karunga.”
  • Net debt down by ₹60 cr– Inventory cleanup + cash discipline worked.
  • Capacity utilisation ~50%– Still plenty of room to sweat the assets.

3. Management’s Key Commentary (Quotes + Sarcastic Translations)

“Domestic MDF volumes grew 30.5% YoY.”(Translation: Discounts, targeted pricing tweaks, and 13,000-person dealer activation did their job 😏.)

“Realizations fell 4%, but only 2% is actual price correction.”(Translation: Please don’t panic — we didn’t hardsell everything at Diwali offers.)

“Chemical prices are elevated but temporary.”(Translation: We really hope so, warna margin presentation phir sad ho jayega.)

“Imports have collapsed from 20,000 CBM/month to just 1,000.”(Translation: BIS finally doing its job. Miracle noted.)

“MDF EBITDA guidance: high single-digit to early double-digit.”(Translation: 10-11% is the new dream. Let’s not get greedy.)

“We reduced working capital by 17 days.”(Translation: Inventory bhar bhar ke rakha tha, ab thoda akal aayi.)

“No meaningful price hikes expected soon.”(Translation: Market share zyada important hai, pricing baad mein.”

“High teens volume growth achievable for FY26.”(Translation: We’ll push hard… just don’t question quarterly math too deeply.)

“New plant at 40% utilisation; all

three lines are now fungible.”(Translation: We’ll run whatever line gives the best economics — Excel decides.)

“High value mix at 44%.”(Translation: Premium बेच रहे हैं, margins बस धीरे-धीरे आएंगे.)

4. Numbers Decoded

---------------------------------------------------------------
Metric                         | Q2 FY26         | Commentary
---------------------------------------------------------------
Revenue                        | ₹389.4 cr       | Strong 17.1% YoY rebound
Operating EBITDA (ex-FX)       | ₹39.7 cr (10.2%)| Margin normalization begins
Reported EBITDA                | ₹27.8 cr (7.1%) | Euro MTM punched hard
Domestic MDF Volumes           | +30.5% YoY      | Strategy shift working
Plywood Volumes                | -5% YoY         | Sequential recovery though
FX Loss Impact                 | ₹12.5 cr (Q2)   | ₹40 cr in H1 🤯
Net Debt                       | ₹173 cr         | Reduced by ₹60–71 cr
Capacity Utilisation           | ~50%            | Room for operating leverage
EPCG Income                    | ₹6 cr (Q2)      | ₹11 cr YTD; ₹40 cr left
---------------------------------------------------------------

Decoding:Q2 was essentially: “Volumes boom + cost savings – FX losses = mixed emotions chart.”

5. Analyst Questions (with Humorous Translations)

Q: MDF guidance still 550k CBM?A: Domestic high-teens growth; exports opportunistic.(Translation: Exports tabhi karenge jab margin milega… warna bye.)

Q: New plant utilisation?A: ~40%.(Translation: Calm down

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