Aditya Birla Capital Ltd Q2 FY26 Concall Decoded: Profits Crawl, Portfolio Gallops – The Cautious Bull Case

1. Opening Hook

When everyone was busy counting Diwali bonuses, Aditya Birla Capital quietly counted its crores – ₹12,481 crore to be exact. Revenue up 10% sequentially, but profits tiptoed just 3% higher. While the government waived GST on insurance to cheer citizens, ABCL’s management looked more like they’d been served black coffee instead of champagne. The call had more acronyms than a government budget note — NBFC, HFC, AMC, VNB — and each had its own “we’re doing fine, but…” story.

Yet, somewhere between “digital platforms” and “risk-calibrated growth,” the company made it clear — the engine’s running, but they’re watching every gear. Keep reading — the real juice comes when the CFO starts talking about margins and credit costs.

2. At a Glance

  • Revenue up 4% YoY, 10% QoQ– Growth magic sprinkled, but the wand’s battery low.
  • PAT ₹855 Cr, up 3% YoY– Profit’s on a diet, maybe intermittent fasting.
  • NBFC AUM ₹1.4 Trillion, up 22% YoY– Lending spree? More like calculated chaos.
  • HFC portfolio ₹38,270 Cr, up 65% YoY– Housing boom, and ABCL’s building fast.
  • AMC AUM ₹4.25 Trillion– SIPs and SIPping profits.
  • Life Insurance VNB Margin 11.6%– A margin that finally stopped ghosting them.
  • Stock steady– Traders yawned, analysts stayed for the Q&A snacks.

3. Management’s Key Commentary

“Our focus is on quality and profitable growth leveraging data, digital and technology.”(Translation: We’re praying the algorithm behaves this quarter.)

“NBFC disbursements grew 39% sequentially to ₹21,990 Cr.”(They’re clearly handing out loans faster than bank coffee vouchers.)

“Asset quality remains strong; GS2+GS3 down to 3.03%.”(Cue the CFO’s silent sigh of relief — this is the good slide.)😌

“Personal loans grew 52% YoY; environment stabilizing.”(Read: The risky stuff hasn’t blown up yet, fingers crossed.)

“Housing Finance AUM up 65% YoY with RoA 1.82%.”(The housing fairy has blessed them with EMIs galore.)

“Life insurance market share at 4.9%, fastest-growing private insurer.”*(Who knew insuring lives could be this lively?) 🫢

“Health Insurance combined ratio at 112%.”(Translation: Still losing money, but we’re healthier about it.)

“Omnichannel architecture reaching 7.6M customers via ABCD app.”(Even the app sounds like a nursery rhyme for fintech.)

4. Numbers Decoded

MetricQ2 FY26YoY GrowthCommentary
Revenue₹12,481 Cr+4%A slow burner, but at least it’s burning.
PAT₹855 Cr+3%Barely moved the profit needle.
NBFC AUM₹1.4 Trn+22%Loans flying off shelves like Diwali discounts.
HFC AUM₹38,270 Cr+65%Mortgage marathon continues.
NBFC RoA2.20%FlatCFO clings to this like a trophy.
Credit Cost1.16%StableRisk team finally gets a holiday.
GS2+3 Ratio3.03%-121 bps“Healthy” never sounded so numerical.
AMC AUM₹4.25 Trn+11%Mutual fund sips stay sticky.
Life Insurance VNB Margin11.6%+420 bpsEven IRDA must be smiling.
Health GWP+31%N/AWellness and wallets rising together.

Bottom line:steady growth, fewer bad loans, and CFO-approved caffeine levels maintained.

5. Analyst Questions (and Management Spin)

Q:“Margins flat despite higher disbursement — why?”A:“One-off opex, sir. We spent on tech and branches.”(Translation: We redecorated, the profits will catch up.)

Q:“Why sell NPA loans with government guarantees?”A:“We aligned ECL policies.”(Because spreadsheets love symmetry.)

Q:“Housing NIMs under pressure?”A:“Competition’s up, but operating leverage will save us.”(The corporate way of saying ‘we’ll squeeze harder.’)

Q:“Can RoA really hit 3%?”A:“We’re confident of 2.4%–2.5%, then we’ll see.”(Translation: 3% is a dream, not guidance.)

Q:“Impact of GST exemption on margins?”A:“Short-term pain, long-term gain.”

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