Natco Pharma Q2 FY26 – ₹518 Cr Profit, ₹1,363 Cr Sales & 7 FDA Love Letters Later: The API Avengers Return

1. At a Glance

Natco Pharma is that one Hyderabad overachiever who juggles R&D, FDA inspections, and court battles like a Tollywood hero dodging bullets in slow-motion. The stock closed at₹865(down – 0.52%) with amarket cap of ₹15,489 Cr,P/E 10.1, andROE 28%– numbers any pharma analyst would swipe right on.

Yet, behind the scientific glamour sits a quarterly reality check:Sales ₹1,363 Cr,PAT ₹518 Cr,down 23.5 % QoQ, because apparently, even blockbuster generics have intermissions. Operating margins still command a royal ~42 %, proving Natco’s cost discipline is tighter than an FDA Form 483 checklist.

The company’sexport formulationsnow make up44 %of the pie (vs 73 % FY23),domestic formulations 15 %, andcontract manufacturing 29 %– clearly, Natco is spreading its chemistry like ghee on a paratha.

And just as analysts were sipping coffee, the US FDA giftedseven Form-483 observations(Nov 2025, Manali API unit). Because in pharma, “love letters” from regulators are part of the romance.

2. Introduction

Once upon a time, Natco was a modest API shop. Today, it’s an international pharma drama: court battles, patent settlements, and now aUS $226 Mn South African fling (Adcock Ingram acquisition). Think of it as theRRRof Indian pharma – R&D, Regulations, and Revenue diversification.

From oncology to agrochemicals, Natco sells everything from anti-cancer tablets to pest repellents – essentially fighting diseases in both humans and tomatoes. The domestic oncology brand is so entrenched that oncologists prescribe it faster than the stock price corrects post-results.

While the market keeps asking, “Why the drop from ₹1,500 to ₹865?”, management answers with new filings, niche launches, and dividend cheques. FY25 deliveredrecord ₹4,784 Cr revenueand₹1,883 Cr profit, only for FY26 guidance to promise – 30 % profit. A little melodrama keeps investors awake.

Yet, when yourROCE 33 %anddebt : equity 0.03, you can afford a few Bollywood plot twists.

3. Business Model – WTF Do They Even Do?

Natco is the three-in-one shampoo of pharma –Formulations + APIs + Contract Manufacturing, now with a dash of Agro Science.

  • Export Formulations (44 %): their bread, butter, and occasionally champagne. Partnering with giants likeTeva, Mylan, Lupin, they play the “first-to-file Para IV” game – the legal version of musical chairs.
  • Domestic Formulations (15 %): oncology and specialty pharma. A 850-person sales army ensures doctors remember “Natco” even in their dreams.
  • APIs (10 %): the behind-the-scenes backbone – 50 + molecules, mostly oncology.
  • Crop Sciences (2 %): an ambitious bet on pesticides; target ₹130-140 Cr revenue FY26.
  • Contract Manufacturing (29 %): 40 + products for major Indian names – Natco’s profitable freelancing gig.

Eight plants, two R&D centres, and 570 patents later, Natco looks less like a pharma company and more like a scientific version of Dmart – quietly efficient, occasionally scandalous.

4. Financials Overview

MetricLatest Qtr (Q2 FY26)Same Qtr Last Yr (Q2 FY25)Prev Qtr (Q1 FY26)YoY %QoQ %
Revenue₹ 1,363 Cr₹ 1,371 Cr₹ 1,329 Cr– 0.6 %+ 2.6 %
EBITDA₹ 579 Cr₹ 804 Cr₹ 571 Cr– 28 %+ 1.4 %
PAT₹ 518 Cr₹ 676 Cr₹ 480 Cr– 23.4 %+ 7.9 %
EPS (₹)28.937.826.8– 23.4 %+ 7.9 %

Annualised EPS ≈ ₹ 115.6 → P/E ≈ 7.5×

Margins dipped but stayed elite; the drop in US sales hurt YoY, yet Natco still prints profits fatter than most mid-caps’ revenues. When OPM > 40 %, you’re not a company – you’re a printing press with FDA audits.

5. Valuation Discussion – Fair

Value Range Only

Method 1 – P/E:Industry avg ≈ 31×. Natco trades 10×. Even if the market discounts its FY26 guidance (–30 % PAT), a fair band of₹ 1,150–₹ 1,450emerges.

Method 2 – EV/EBITDA:EV ₹ 13,060 Cr / EBITDA FY25 ₹ 2,196 Cr → 6×. Peer avg ≈ 15×. Applying 8–10× gives₹ 1,200–₹ 1,500range.

Method 3 – DCF:Assume FY25 FCF ₹ 1,697 Cr, 5 % growth, 12 % discount → Fair EV ≈ ₹ 16,500–₹ 18,000 Cr → Per-share₹ 920–₹ 1,000.

🎯Educational Fair Value Range:₹ 920 – ₹ 1,450.Disclaimer: purely for educational purposes, not investment advice.

6. What’s Cooking – News, Triggers & Drama

If you thought pharma was boring, welcome to Natco’s November 2025 highlights:

  • FDA Inspection Manali API unit (Nov 17–21): 7 observations.Because nothing says “Good Morning” like Form-483 emails.
  • Interim Dividend ₹ 1.50/share– a small treat post Adcock Ingram buyout.
  • Adcock Ingram Acquisition (ZAR 3,873 Mn ≈ USD 225 Mn):completed, de-listing done, and Hyderabad officially owns a piece of South African healthcare.
  • Crop Demerger Evaluation (Sep 2025):board exploring separation – clearly tired of mixing pesticides with paracetamol.
  • Legal Wins:Roche’s Risdiplam case dismissed → Natco launched at ₹ 15,900 MRP; generic Ozempic settled with Mylan & Novo Nordisk.
  • M&A Rumours:Potential new acquisition brewing.

Basically, Natco’s corporate diary reads like an OTT thriller: legal battles, foreign flings, and FDA romance.

7. Balance Sheet (Q2 FY26)

ItemSep 2023Mar 2025Sep 2025 (Latest)
Total Assets₹ 5,657 Cr₹ 8,631 Cr₹ 10,430 Cr
Net Worth (Equity + Reserves)₹ 4,873 Cr₹ 7,607 Cr₹ 8,650 Cr
Borrowings₹ 167 Cr₹ 279 Cr₹ 261 Cr
Other Liabilities₹ 617 Cr₹ 744 Cr₹ 1,520 Cr
Total Liabilities₹ 5,657 Cr₹ 8,631 Cr₹ 10,430 Cr

Interpretation:

  • Leverage so low, auditors need microscopes to find it.
  • Reserves jumped ₹ 1,000 Cr + YoY – that’s R&D
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