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Tech Mahindra Ltd Q2 FY26 – From Code to Comedy: ₹13,995 Cr Sales, ₹1,194 Cr PAT, Margin Recovery at 15%, Dividend Kings of the IT Circus


1. At a Glance

Welcome to Tech Mahindra Ltd, the elder cousin who peaked in college and is now trying hard to get fit again. At a market cap of ₹1.41 lakh crore, this Mahindra Group behemoth trades around ₹1,445/share, offering a 3.12 % dividend yield — basically, free samosas while you wait for growth. The P/E sits at 31.6×, which would be fine if profits weren’t flatlining faster than your gym motivation after Navratri.

In Q2 FY26, revenue clocked ₹13,995 Cr (up 5.1 % QoQ) and PAT came at ₹1,194 Cr (-4.5 % QoQ). Margins improved to a respectable 15 % OPM thanks to Project Fortius — a fancy name for “cost cutting without looking desperate.” Attrition dropped from 23.5 % to 11 %, possibly because nobody wants to risk switching jobs in an economy where even ChatGPT writes code.

So yes — the company’s back in shape, but the treadmill’s still running. Let’s audit this circus.


2. Introduction

There was a time when Tech Mahindra was the rockstar of Indian IT — the cool coder cousin who bragged about 5G deals and digital transformations while sipping Starbucks in Hinjewadi. Then recession hit, Europe sneezed, and the company caught a full-blown margin flu.

By FY24, OPM collapsed from 18 % to 9 %, leaving shareholders wondering if the balance sheet was a comedy script. But Q2 FY26 finally saw recovery — 15 % OPM, 13 % EBIT, and a ₹15/share interim dividend (300 % payout, because Mahindra believes in “dividends > innovation”).

Tech Mahindra’s problem has never been survival — it’s relevance. While TCS plays it safe and Infosys meditates in Mysuru, Tech M loves drama: Satyam legacy cases, sudden CEO exits, and buzzwords like “GenAI” and “agentX.” The only consistent thing here? Press Releases.

But hey — maybe chaos is their strategy.


3. Business Model – WTF Do They Even Do?

Think of Tech Mahindra as an IT buffet — a little bit of everything, a lot of nothing revolutionary. The company sells consulting, enterprise applications, BPO, engineering, design, network, AI, analytics, and cloud services. Translation: “We’ll do whatever your boss approved budget for.”

Its IT Services contribute 84 % of revenue, while BPO (Business Process Services) handles the remaining 16 % — mostly customer support and backend management that keeps the lights on while the AI models hallucinate.

Vertical mix screams telecom addiction: Communications 33 %, Manufacturing 17 %, BFSI 16 %, Media 14 %, Retail 8 %, Others 12 %. Basically, when Vodafone coughs, Tech M gets pneumonia.

Geographically, Americas 51 %, Europe 24 %, Rest of World 25 % — so 75 % of its clients are currently battling high inflation and low patience.

Fun fact: client base dropped from 1,224 → 1,175 since FY22. But large-ticket clients rose, showing fewer but richer customers — like a wedding with fewer guests but better biryani.


4. Financials Overview

MetricLatest Qtr (Q2 FY26)YoY Qtr (Q2 FY25)Prev Qtr (Q1 FY26)YoY %QoQ %
Revenue13,99513,31313,351+5.1 %+4.8 %
EBITDA2,1651,7501,935+23.7 %+11.9 %
PAT1,1941,2581,129-5.1 %+5.7 %
EPS (₹)12.212.811.6-4.7 %+5.1 %

Annualised EPS ≈ ₹48.8, giving a recalculated P/E ≈ 29.6× — right in the “optimistic but hopeful” zone.

Commentary:
Margins are healing faster than a startup founder after a funding round. But PAT down YoY shows pricing still weak. The company’s newfound GenAI obsession might help… or just add another PowerPoint slide.


5. Valuation Discussion – Fair Value Range

Method 1: P/E Approach

  • Annualised EPS = ₹48.8
  • Industry average P/E ≈ 30×
  • Fair Value = ₹48.8 × (27 – 33) = ₹1,317 – ₹1,611

Method 2: EV/EBITDA Approach

  • EV ≈ ₹1.39 lakh Cr
  • EBITDA FY25 ≈ ₹7,748 Cr
  • EV/EBITDA ≈ 17× (current)
  • Fair EV/EBITDA range 15–18× → ₹1.25 – ₹1.50 lakh Cr EV
    → Implied price ₹1,325 – ₹1,590/share

Method 3: DCF (Short-Cut Desi Version)
Assuming 8 % revenue CAGR, 13 % EBIT margin, ₹4,000 Cr annual CAPEX, 10 % discount rate → Intrinsic range ₹1,300 – ₹1,550

Fair Value Range: ₹1,300 – ₹1,600/share**
📜 Disclaimer: This range is purely educational, not investment advice.


6. What’s Cooking – News, Triggers & Drama

Ah, the quarterly gossip corner.

  • GenAI Buzz: Launch of “TechM agentX” — a GenAI automation suite that promises 70 % productivity gains. Translation: “Do more work with fewer employees.”
  • Partnership Bonanza: New collabs with Nvidia, AWS, ServiceNow — basically the holy trinity of “please invite

Eduinvesting Team

https://eduinvesting.in/

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