🌾 This Agri Stock Posted ₹265 Cr Profit in FY25 — But Q4 Loss Raises a Big Red Flag

🌾 This Agri Stock Posted ₹265 Cr Profit in FY25 — But Q4 Loss Raises a Big Red Flag

🌟 At a glance:

  • FY25 PAT: ₹265.2 crore
  • Revenue: ₹1,121.6 crore (+5.6% YoY)
  • Q4 Loss: ₹22.9 crore (vs ₹0.27 cr last year)
  • Operating Margin (Q4): –18.3% 😬
  • CMP: ₹1,350.90

🌱 About the Company

Kaveri Seed Company Ltd is one of India’s largest agriculture-focused biotech firms, producing hybrid seeds for cotton, maize, rice, bajra, vegetables, and more. With strong R&D and pan-India distribution, it plays a key role in Indian farming cycles.

👨‍🌾 Key Managerial Personnel

  • MD: G.V. Bhaskar Rao

📊 FY25 Financials

MetricFY25FY24YoY Change
Revenue₹1,121.6 cr₹1,062.2 cr+5.6%
PAT₹265.2 cr₹253.1 cr+4.8%
Q4 Revenue₹102.9 cr₹123.3 cr–16.5%
Q4 PAT–₹22.9 cr–₹0.27 crHuge Loss

📉 Q4 Disaster Zone

  • Weak seasonal performance caused a massive Q4 loss
  • Margin crash to –18.3% from slightly negative last year
  • High fixed costs and poor crop cycle blamed

🧮 Forward Fair Value Estimate

  • Let’s assume PAT CAGR of 10% → FY27E PAT ≈ ₹350 cr
  • P/E Benchmark = 18x (Agri-biotech sector average)
  • Target Market Cap = ₹6,300 cr
  • With ~1.5 crore shares outstanding → FV per share = ₹418
  • Current Market Price: ₹1,350.90 → Richly valued

🌦️ Industry & Growth Outlook

  • Cotton, maize, and vegetable hybrids remain core revenue drivers
  • Weather, monsoon, and govt seed policy remain major risks
  • Domestic demand for hybrids is growing, but competition is intense

😂 EduInvesting Take

  • FY25 looks calm, but Q4 was a faceplant. Like tripping over your own shoelaces at harvest season.
  • That Q4 loss has the boardroom asking: “Yeh kya beej diya humne?”
  • CMP suggests the market is pricing perfection in a highly seasonal biz
  • Verdict: “Priced for perfection, praying for rain. Hold with caution.”

Prashant Marathe

https://eduinvesting.in

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