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Jammu & Kashmir Bank Ltd – From NPA Horror Show to β‚Ή2,148 Cr Profit, and Still Fighting GST Demons πŸ’ΈπŸ¦


1. At a Glance

Once infamous for NPAs fatter than Kashmir’s wazwan thali, Jammu & Kashmir Bank (JKB) has staged a comeback with GNPA down to 3.95% and profits hitting β‚Ή2,148 Cr in FY25. With 86% of its branches huddled in J&K and Ladakh, this is less of a β€œpan-India private bank” and more of a regional sultan. But don’t get fooled β€” with a P/E of just 5x, book value higher than CMP, and a dividend yield of 2.1%, this bank is a PSU in private clothes.


2. Introduction

JKB is that kid in class who topped in maths (NIM 4%) but always got caught in disciplinary cases (RBI fines, SEBI warnings, GST disputes). The bank was once a political football, drowning in bad loans. But recent clean-up has made it semi-presentable: NPAs halved, CASA ratio close to 50%, and profitability zooming.

Business-wise, it’s a cocktail: 60% retail, 21% treasury, 19% corporate. Translation: lending to local shopkeepers, parking surplus in bonds, and giving a few big cheques to corporates (and praying they pay back).

But the real masala is geography: 72% of loans and 89% of deposits sit in J&K & Ladakh. Which means:

  • If tourism booms, JKB parties.
  • If curfews or floods hit, JKB cries.

Now they’re pushing digital banking with mPay Delight+ (basically UPI with Kashmiri kahwa branding). 86% of transactions are already digital β€” impressive for a region where even power cuts are routine.

Question: Is JKB really transforming, or just hiding old skeletons behind new fintech curtains?


3. Business Model – WTF Do They Even Do?

JKB’s business is basically three pillars:

  • Retail (60%) – Personal loans, housing, small businesses. This keeps the cash register ringing.
  • Corporate (19%) – Riskier, but gives size. Think of it as lending β‚Ή500 Cr to one borrower instead of 5 lakh customers. Historically this is where NPAs mushroomed.
  • Treasury (21%) – Investing in bonds, playing with yields. Their safe zone, but sensitive to interest rate swings.

Deposit side: β‚Ή1.38 lakh Cr, split evenly β€” Term Deposits (51%) vs CASA (49%). That’s decent, but not HDFC-class.

Loan book: ~β‚Ή1 lakh Cr, with 39% in personal finance (salary earners, safe), 21% in trade & services, and 10% each in agriculture and financial markets. Manufacturing is just 7% β€” not a bank for Tata Steel types.

They also sponsor J&K Grameen Bank (216 branches, 1,226 staff). Basically, a rural cousin that collects goat-farmer deposits while JKB handles city buzz.


4. Financials Overview

Source table
MetricLatest Qtr (Jun’25)YoY Qtr (Jun’24)Prev Qtr (Mar’25)YoY %QoQ %
Revenueβ‚Ή3,269 Crβ‚Ή2,994 Crβ‚Ή3,213 Cr+9.2%+1.7%
Operating Profitβ‚Ή406 Crβ‚Ή415 Crβ‚Ή404 Cr-2.2%+0.5%
PATβ‚Ή485 Crβ‚Ή418 Crβ‚Ή582 Cr+16.0%-16.7%
EPS (β‚Ή)4.403.805.28+15.8%-16.7%

Commentary: Strong YoY growth, but sequential dip. EPS swings like the Dal Lake shikara in a storm.


5. Valuation – Fair Value Range Only

  • P/E Method:
    EPS TTM = β‚Ή19.5. With private banks at 10–15x, fair range = β‚Ή195 – β‚Ή290.
  • P/B Method:
    Book Value = β‚Ή129. At 0.8x CMP, fair range assuming 1–1.5x = β‚Ή130 – β‚Ή195.
  • DCF (assume 12% growth, CoE 14%):
    Fair range = β‚Ή140 – β‚Ή180.

Consolidated Range: β‚Ή140 – β‚Ή200.

Disclaimer: This fair value range is for educational purposes only and not investment advice.


6. What’s Cooking – News, Triggers, Drama

  • Profits: Record β‚Ή2,148 Cr FY25 profit. Huge recovery from historic NPA mess.
  • Fines: RBI slapped β‚Ή3.31 Cr penalty (Jan 2025). SEBI warning for non-compliance. GST demand of β‚Ή8,100
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