Search for stocks /

๐Ÿงต Ludlow Jute & Specialities Ltd โ€“ 100-Year-Old Mill Now Trading at 524 P/E


1. At a Glance

Founded in 1921, Ludlow Jute has been spinning yarn longer than most mutual fund managers have been alive. With jute bags, geotextiles, tapes, and even lifestyle products, the company is trying to stay relevant in a polyester world. But hereโ€™s the kicker: โ‚น339 Cr sales, โ‚น0.9 Cr annual profit, yet a market cap of โ‚น472 Cr and a P/E of 524. Basically, the market values this century-old mill like itโ€™s the next Tesla.


2. Introduction

Ludlow Jute is part of the Kanoria Group and has seen it all โ€“ from Indiaโ€™s freedom movement (jute sacks packed the salt satyagraha) to modern-day ESG hipsters rediscovering โ€œeco-friendly fabrics.โ€

The companyโ€™s products range from humble gunny bags to jute-based geo-textiles used in roads, landscaping, and agriculture. They even make jute felt for cars and furniture, and stylish bags to woo millennials who think jute = Instagram sustainability.

But beneath the green shine lies the same old jute problem: high labor intensity, frequent strikes, fire incidents (literally two in FY24), and negative ROE. To add masala, in 2024, promoters sold their 67.2% stake to Panchjanya Distributors, triggering an open offer for 26% shares. Ownership drama, strikes, and credit downgrades โ€“ Ludlow has become the daily soap of Dalal Street.

Question: Can a commodity mill reinvent itself as a โ€œvalue-added ESG play,โ€ or will it remain a sack-maker for FCI?


3. Business Model โ€“ WTF Do They Even Do?

Ludlow runs its 67,500 MTPA Howrah unit, producing 47,214 MT in FY22. Their catalogue reads like a jute supermarket:

  • Core Products: yarn, sacking bags, hessian cloth.
  • Value-Added Stuff: geotextiles, scrim for roofing, felt, webbing for furniture, rubber-bonded jute cloth.
  • Fancy Pitch: โ€œLifestyle productsโ€ โ€“ because nothing screams luxury like a โ‚น300 jute tote.
  • Customers: Indian govt agencies like FCI buy 55โ€“65% of output. Abroad, they sell to Italy, Belgium, Canada, Germany, and the US.

Essentially, 81% sales are domestic, 19% exports. Jute mills are like arranged marriages โ€“ government demand keeps them alive, exports provide the excitement.


4. Financials Overview

MetricLatest Qtr (Junโ€™25)YoY Qtr (Junโ€™24)Prev Qtr (Marโ€™25)YoY %QoQ %
Revenue (โ‚น Cr)113.074.694.8+51.6%+19%
EBITDA (โ‚น Cr)11.3-4.210.1N/A+12%
PAT (โ‚น Cr)4.5-7.02.5+164%+78%
EPS (โ‚น)4.2-6.52.3N/A+83%

Commentary: From losses in FY24 to a surprise profit in FY25. But EPS recovery looks more like a short-covering rally than a structural turnaround.


5. Valuation โ€“ Fair Value Range Only

  • P/E Method: EPS FY25 = โ‚น0.84. At realistic sector P/E (12โ€“15), fair value = โ‚น10โ€“โ‚น13. CMP โ‚น438.
  • EV/EBITDA Method: EV โ‚น618 Cr, EBITDA โ‚น24 Cr โ†’ 25.3x. Sector average 8โ€“12x โ†’ fair EV = โ‚น200โ€“โ‚น300 Cr โ†’ Price range โ‚น180โ€“โ‚น270.
  • DCF Method: Assume โ‚น20 Cr FCF/year, 5% growth, 12% discount rate โ†’ PV โ‰ˆ โ‚น220โ€“โ‚น240 Cr โ†’ Price range โ‚น200โ€“โ‚น220.

๐Ÿ‘‰ Fair Value Range: โ‚น180 โ€“ โ‚น220
(Educational only, not investment advice)


6. Whatโ€™s Cooking โ€“ News, Triggers, Drama

  • Promoter Exit: In Sep 2024, Kanoria family sold 67.2% to Panchjanya Distributors. New management, new soap opera.
  • Open Offer: Oct 2024 open offer for 26% shares. Market buzz = possible delisting?
  • Strikes: Nov 2024 mill operations suspended due to illegal strike. Resumed later. Labor unrest

Eduinvesting Team

https://eduinvesting.in/

Leave a Reply

Don't Miss

error: Content is protected !!