EduInvesting.in | 12 May 2025
Because nothing says ‘healthy markets’ like a geopolitical conflict, a Fed confused about inflation, and Tata Steel trying to justify its existence.
🧨 The Week That Was: Boom, Bam, Border Clash
Just when investors were celebrating Nifty’s flirtation with 24,500, along came Pakistan with a missile and the market said, “Arrey bhai, not again.”
- Nifty: Down 1.4%
- Sensex: -1047 points
- VIX: Spiked harder than your blood pressure when Paytm crashes again
- FIIs: Still confused, but kind of buying
- DIIs: Holding the fort like desi aunties holding their sabzi bags in a train stampede
🔮 What’s Cooking This Week?
This week is like that Indian family wedding:
- Too many guests (global events)
- Confusing relatives (Fed, RBI, CPI)
- One distant cousin who always fights (Pakistan)
🌍 GLOBAL DRAMA: THE FED & THE TRADE WARS
🏦 Jerome Powell: “We might cut rates, but like… we might not.”
- U.S. Inflation data lands Tuesday
- CPI print will decide if the Fed hugs markets or ghost them again
- If inflation cools → Risk-on
- If inflation spikes → Nifty can say tata to 24K
Also:
- China cut rates → thanks Xi bro
- US-UK trade deal talks = mood thoda thanda
- Oil up → not great for India
- Dollar Index holding strong like
- a retired fauji uncle
🔫 INDIA VS PAKISTAN: MARKETS VS MISSILES
After India launched Operation Sindoor (no, not the Ekta Kapoor kind), Pakistan responded like every IPL team that plays against CSK — with misplaced aggression.
Markets hate:
- Cross-border tensions
- Uncertainty
- Random missiles during earnings season
So:
- Expect volatility, especially if there’s more military action
- But if things chill → markets might bounce like PSU stocks in a budget speech
📈 Q4 Earnings Parade: Who’s Getting a Trophy?
🎤 On the mic this week:
- Tata Steel: If results are as cold as its stock, market will punish
- Hero MotoCorp: Can’t spell “2-wheeler king” without “earnings”
- Bharti Airtel: 5G? Good. ARPU? Better be
- GAIL: Let’s see if they deliver gas or just hot air
- Cipla, Lupin: Pharma flex incoming? Or just a paracetamol-level result?
🎯 Eyes
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