1. At a Glance
Alpex Solar is North India’s shining PV module maker—now foraying into solar cell manufacturing, pumps, EPC, IPP, and free‑air purifiers (yes, really). The stock trades at P/E ~26, with jaw‑dropping ROCE of 51.8% and ROE of 48.1%—clearly not your average solar stock.
2. Introduction
Founded in 2008, Alpex isn’t just selling panels—it’s selling the dream of integrated solar solutions: modules, frames, EPC, solar pumps, and soon, in-house solar cells. Over the past year alone, sales and profits have catapulted, pushing the stock to new highs. Let’s see if the solar empire holds.
3. Business Model (WTF Do They Even Do?)
Main Wings:
- PV Modules (1.2 GW → expanding further)
- EPC & IPP Projects
- Solar Pumps (15,000+ installations)
- Aluminum Frames (in-house manufacturing)
- Green Hydrogen solutions (GH2)
- Soon: Solar Cell Manufacturing (1.6 GW capex underway)
They’re basically the Swiss Army knife of solar hardware—diversified, ambitious, and not afraid of complexity.
4. Financials Overview
FY25 TTM:
- Revenue: ₹1,084 Cr
- PAT: ₹125 Cr
- OPM: ~17%
- CAGR (5‑yr): Sales ~51%, Profit ~94% Groww+15Trade Brains+15Energetica India+15Alice Blue Online
Q1 FY26:
- Order Book: ₹1,554 Cr
- Plant Expansion: 1.2 GW module line + solar cell capacity
- ramp The Economic Times
Fresh P/E:
EPS ~₹51 (₹125 Cr / shares). At CMP ₹1,334 → P/E ~26×, a significant premium in the solar universe.
5. Valuation (Fair Value Range)
| Method | Basis | Multiple | Value (Cr) | Per Share |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| P/E | EPS ₹51 × 20–25 | 20–25× | ₹2,550–2,900 Cr | ₹1,100–1,250 |
| EV/EBITDA | EBITDA ~₹186 Cr × 8–10 | 8–10× | ₹1,490–1,860 Cr | ₹640–800 |
| DCF | 15% growth, 12% discount, 10 yrs | Conservative | ~₹2,200 Cr | ₹950 |
Fair Value: ₹1,100–₹1,250 range—high, but not absurd given the growth trajectory.
6. What’s Cooking – News & Growth Catalysts
- Order Wins: ₹1,068.8 Cr in new orders: EPC from Coal India subsidiary, SECI (₹210 Cr PV modules), solar pumps from HAREDA, and others. EQ Mag Pro+13The Economic Times+13Energetica India+13alpexsolar.com+15Outlook Business+15The Economic Times+15
- Additional ₹230 Cr module order from industry giant—stock jumped 8–11% on news. Trade Brains+2Trade Brains+2
- Capacity Expansion: Doubling module capacity to 2.4 GW by FY26; solar cell manufacturing capacity of 1.6 GW with
