1. At a Glance
Praj Industries is India’s poster child for bioenergy and sustainable engineering. Founded in 1983, it rode the ethanol boom, diversified into hi-purity systems, critical process equipment, and water/wastewater treatment. FY25 ROCE at 17.9% and ROE at 14.1% are respectable, but Q1 FY26 threw a banana peel: revenue down 8.4% YoY to ₹640 Cr, PAT collapsing 91% YoY to ₹5.34 Cr. At a P/E of 58.4, investors are still pricing it like it’s 2021, not post-boom reality.
2. Introduction
Praj’s narrative reads like a green-tech startup that grew up, went global, and then realised it was still dealing with India’s industrial capex cycles. Its USP? Farm-to-fuel ethanol plants, brewery systems, water treatment, and shiny stainless-steel process equipment.
The hype cycle peaked when government ethanol blending mandates drove orders through the roof. But like all commodity-adjacent capex plays, it’s a rollercoaster — Q1 FY26’s profit slump is proof that order booking and execution timing matter more than speeches on sustainability.
3. Business Model (WTF Do They Even Do?)
Praj sells systems, not just machines:
- BioEnergy – Ethanol plants, compressed biogas systems, SAF (sustainable aviation fuel).
- Praj HiPurity Systems – Pharma-grade water systems, cleanroom skids.
- Critical Process Equipment – Specialised vessels and skids for chemicals and biofuels.
- Water & Wastewater – Industrial effluent treatment and recycling.
- Brewery
- Solutions – End-to-end beer plant equipment (cheers!).
It’s EPC + proprietary tech + aftersales. Projects are long-cycle, which means revenue recognition can whipsaw quarter-to-quarter.
4. Financials Overview
- Q1 FY26 Revenue: ₹640 Cr (↓ 8.43% YoY)
- Q1 FY26 PAT: ₹5.34 Cr (↓ 91.39% YoY)
- TTM Revenue: ₹3,169 Cr (↓ 8% YoY)
- TTM PAT: ₹140 Cr (↓ 51% YoY)
- TTM EPS: ₹7.63
- Updated P/E: 445 ÷ 7.63 ≈ 58.3x (no valuation buffer here)
- Dividend Payout: ~50% — generous, but in a down year, that’s cash leakage.
- OPM Q1: 4.91% vs 13.16% in Q1 last year — margin compression is the real villain.
5. Valuation (Fair Value RANGE only)
| Method | Formula | Fair Value |
|---|---|---|
| P/E | Sector median (38x) × EPS ₹7.63 | ₹290 |
| EV/EBITDA | Sector EV/EBITDA (20x) × EBITDA ₹264 Cr | ₹5,280 Cr EV → ₹360/share |
| DCF | 10% discount rate, 8% growth, FCF ₹180 Cr | ₹320–₹400/share |
Fair Value Range: ₹290 – ₹400
Disclaimer: This FV range is for educational purposes only and is not investment
