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Godfrey Phillips Q1 FY26: ₹1,486 Cr Sales, Profit 33% Up – Puffing Profits, Burning Shorts!


1. At a Glance

The cigarette king of KK Modi Group, Godfrey Phillips, just lit up Q1 FY26 with ₹1,486 cr revenue (+27% YoY) and ₹356 cr profit (+32.5% YoY). Margins are stable at 23% OPM, and ROE roars at 24%. The only thing smokier than its cigarettes is its P/E (38×) and the fact that working capital days jumped to 100. Share price? On fire – up 115% YoY.


2. Introduction

Godfrey Phillips India Ltd (GPIL), the Marlboro-maker for India, has had an explosive rally with stock touching ₹9,000 levels. Even as India’s anti-tobacco drive intensifies, GPIL finds ways to puff profits via premium brands, other income boosts, and cost control. Q1 FY26 continues this streak with strong top-line and bottom-line growth, proving once again that sin stocks rarely sin against investors.


3. Business Model (WTF Do They Even Do?)

  • Cigarettes: Core revenue driver (~85%), includes Four Square, Red & White, Cavanders, and Marlboro (via Philip Morris tie-up).
  • FMCG & Others: Tea, leaf processing, and distribution.
  • Retail: Exited 24Seven chain to focus back on tobacco profits.
  • Geography: Primarily India, with exports in select markets.

Roast: They’ve shed retail baggage, focusing on cigarettes where margins burn brightest.


4. Financials Overview

  • Revenue (Q1 FY26): ₹1,486 cr (↑26.98% YoY)
  • EBITDA: ₹338 cr (OPM 23%)
  • PAT: ₹356 cr (↑32.5% YoY)
  • EPS (Q1): ₹68.5
  • ROE (FY25): 24.3%
  • ROCE (FY25): 29.6%

Commentary: The company keeps printing cash while being almost debt-free. Other income (₹141 cr) is the cherry on top.


5. Valuation

a) P/E Method

EPS TTM ₹230.8, CMP ₹8,984 → P/E 38.4x.
Peers: VST 22x, ITC 26x (not listed here).
Fair Value (P/E 30–35x) → ₹6,900–₹8,000.

b) EV/EBITDA Method

FY25 EBITDA ₹1,240 cr; apply 15–18× multiple.
Fair Value → ₹7,000–₹8,500.

c) Simplified DCF

Growth 15%, discount 10%, terminal 3%.
Fair Value → ₹7,200–₹8,400.

🎯 Fair Value Range: ₹7,000–₹8,400


6. What’s Cooking – News, Triggers, Drama

  • Q1 profit surged 33%, driven by strong cigarette sales and higher realizations.
  • 2:1 bonus shares proposed, doubling investor excitement.
  • Exited retail business (24Seven), cutting dead weight.
  • Ongoing litigation on GST and trademarks—minor smoke, no fire.

7. Balance Sheet

Metrics (₹ cr)FY25
Total Assets6,969
Reserves5,235
Borrowings179
Liabilities6,969

Auditor Roast: Debt is negligible, reserves keep growing. Balance sheet cleaner than Marlboro smoke ads.


8. Cash Flow – Sab Number Game Hai

YearOpsInvestingFinancing
FY23736−541−206
FY2429055−349
FY25107402−491

Roast: Ops cash flow dipped (working capital rise), but investing turned positive. Financing

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