🚛 “ZF Commercial: Braking Hard, Profiting Harder — But Can This Auto Ancillary Beat the Valuation Speed Limit?”

🧠 At a Glance

ZF Commercial Vehicle Control Systems India Ltd (formerly WABCO India) has quietly built an empire of brakes, compressors, and vehicle control systems. With ROCE nearing 20%, a 27% profit CAGR over 5 years, and zero long-term debt — this isnotyour average auto stock. But at 54x earnings, is the rally already over the speed limit?

🔍 Part 1: The Braking System Empire You’ve Probably Ignored

  • ZF WABCO isIndia’s #1 playerin truck, bus, and trailer braking systems.
  • The company manufactures:
    • Air disc brakes
    • Compressors, vacuum pumps
    • Door control + suspension systems
    • Electronic stability control + digital services
  • Their B2B clients include:
    • Ashok Leyland, Tata Motors, Volvo-Eicher, Daimler, and BharatBenz
  • It also providesaftermarket servicing,
  • digital fleet management, and training to OEMs and fleet operators.

📦 In short: If your intercity busstopped in time, thank ZF.

📊 Part 2: 5-Year Financial Recap – Margins, Profits & Precision Engineering

₹ in CrFY21FY22FY23FY24FY25
Revenue1,8642,5433,4453,7843,804
EBITDA206253470563625
EBITDA %11.0%10.0%14.0%15.0%16.0%
PAT104142318405459
EPS₹54.7₹74.9₹167.5₹213.4₹241.8
ROCE7%9%19%21%20%
Dividend Payout20%16%8%8%8%

Takeaway: Profits are up4.4xsince FY21, while margins have moved from mediocre to magnificent.

🧮 Part 3: Quarterly Trends – Engine Revving or Hitting the Redline?

QuarterSales (₹ Cr)OPM (%)Net Profit (₹ Cr)EPS
Mar 202397715%101₹53.3
Jun 202396115%100₹52.6
Sep 202398115%104₹55.0
Dec 202388715%100₹52.5
Mar 202495615%101₹53.3
Jun 202493815%99₹52.3
Sep 202490715%109₹57.6
Dec 202495618%125₹65.9
Mar 20251,00317%125₹66.0

📈 Last 3 quarters

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