🔨 Ramkrishna Forgings Posted ₹408 Cr Profit — But There’s a ₹2,200 Cr Inventory Hole?

🔨 Ramkrishna Forgings Posted ₹408 Cr Profit — But There’s a ₹2,200 Cr Inventory Hole?

🟢 At a Glance:

Ramkrishna Forgings Ltd (RKFORGE) reported a strong ₹408 crore standalone net profit in FY25, announced a ₹1 dividend, and even approved ₹204.75 crore preferential warrants for promoters. Sounds bullish? Not so fast. The auditors dropped a bomb — ₹2,200 crore worth of raw material and WIP inventory was overstated. Yes. That’s not a typo.


🏢 About the Company

  • Name: Ramkrishna Forgings Ltd
  • Industry: Auto components, railway wheels, global forging solutions
  • Clients: OEMs across India, North America, Europe
  • Recent moves: Set up JV with Titagarh (RTRWL), acquired Mexican unit, sold Globe All India Services

They make the bones of the vehicle — chassis, axles, wheels — and have expanded globally with acquisitions and a government-friendly JV strategy.


🧾 FY25 Standalone Financial Highlights

MetricFY25FY24 (Restated)Change
Revenue₹3,65,294 Cr₹3,52,287 Cr🔼 +3.7%
EBITDA₹59,254 Cr (approx)₹58,451 Cr🔼 Marginal
Net Profit₹408 Cr₹214 Cr🔼 +90.6%
EPS₹22.22₹12.13🚀
Dividend₹1/share₹0.50/share✅ Doubled

So far, everything looks amazing.


📉 But Then Comes This: The ₹2,200 Cr Audit Qualification

Auditors SR Batliboi & SK Naredi threw a qualified opinion on the books.

  • A physical inventory mismatch was discovered.
  • RKFORGE overstated ₹2,052 Cr worth of raw material, scrap and WIP.
  • Also ₹502 Cr in FY24 was similarly overstated — but not caught then.
  • Management says it was due to “non-recording of rejections at plants.”

Translation: “Our ERP thinks we have 2,000 Cr worth of steel. We actually don’t.”

And yes — these adjustments have now been retrospectively applied to FY24 too. The net hit to FY25 net worth? ₹202.6 crore.


🧠 Why This Is a Massive Red Flag

  • This isn’t just a typo — it’s a structural accounting failure.
  • Over 6.7% of the company’s reported net worth was fictional.
  • Auditors are still waiting on a full root cause analysis.
  • External agency is “still investigating” — meaning this is not over.

If this were a startup, SEBI would’ve already issued a show cause.


🏦 Preferential Allotment: Warrants @ ₹2,100

Right after revealing the financial hole, the company:

  • Approved 9.75 lakh convertible warrants to Riddhi Portfolio (promoter)
  • Issue Price: ₹2,100 per warrant
  • Total: ₹204.75 Cr
  • That’s 2.95x the SEBI floor price of ₹712

👀 Promoter pumping in capital at 3x floor price?
Or pre-empting dilution control after market shakes?


📊 Balance Sheet Snapshot (Standalone)

ItemFY25FY24 (Restated)
Total Assets₹5,86,303 Cr₹4,85,821 Cr
Equity₹3,01,014 Cr₹2,52,012 Cr
Borrowings₹1,58,854 Cr₹89,934 Cr
Inventories₹1,08,510 Cr₹95,975 Cr
Trade Payables₹94,636 Cr₹91,579 Cr

Leverage has increased. Cash flow dipped. Inventories still high despite the write-down.


🧠 EduInvesting Take:

Ramkrishna Forgings is operationally strong, strategically expanding, and throwing ₹400+ Cr net profits. But the inventory fiasco is serious. You don’t “accidentally” misstate over ₹2,000 Cr in materials unless your ERP is built in PowerPoint.

Add to that:

  • Auditor flags
  • Past data restated
  • Dividend to sweeten perception
  • Promoters issuing warrants to themselves

This screams “We are in control, but things are messier than they look.”


📌 TL;DR

  • ✅ ₹408 Cr net profit in FY25 (up 91%)
  • ✅ ₹1 dividend declared
  • 🚨 ₹2,200 Cr inventory overstatement discovered
  • 🚨 Auditors issued qualified opinion
  • 🧮 Net worth artificially inflated — now restated
  • 💰 Promoter warrants issued at 3x SEBI floor
  • 🔍 External audit agency still probing

Author: Prashant Marathe
Date: June 1, 2025
Tags: Ramkrishna Forgings Results, RKFORGE Q4 FY25, Inventory Audit Fraud, PSU Stock Alert, Preferential Warrants, SEBI Disclosures, Auto Ancillary Stocks, Forging Sector India, Dividend Announcements, Audit Red Flag


Prashant Marathe

https://eduinvesting.in

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