📉 “Tata Tele Is Still Alive? 5 Years, 5 Bailouts, ₹21,000 Cr in Losses Later…”

📉 “Tata Tele Is Still Alive? 5 Years, 5 Bailouts, ₹21,000 Cr in Losses Later…”

At a Glance

Tata Teleservices (Maharashtra) Ltd is the telecom penny stock that every bull market resurrects. Despite no profits in 15+ years, and net worth so deep in negative it deserves its own excavation team, it remains a retail favourite — because “Tata hai boss.”


⚠️ 1. TL;DR – The Telecom Titanic That Still Floats

  • 📉 5-Year Stock Move: ₹38 → ₹68 → ₹305 (2021 high) → back to ₹68
  • 💀 Cumulative PAT (FY21–25): -₹6,160 Cr
  • 📡 Core Business: Wireline + Managed IT/Telecom services in Maharashtra + Goa
  • 🧾 Net Worth: -₹21,525 Cr 🤯
  • 💳 Debt: ₹20,400 Cr (still rising)
  • 🔥 ROCE: 50%+ (technical artifact, not operational excellence)
  • 🧠 KMPs: CEO Ravinder Kumar, new CHRO Mridul Chandra (2025)

📡 2. Business Model – Death by Interest Expense

  • Residual entity after Tata Group exited mobile telecom in FY19
  • Tata Tele sold spectrum + mobile biz to Bharti Airtel; what’s left:
    • Enterprise broadband
    • Wireline voice
    • ISP license in Maharashtra + Goa

But here’s the catch:

  • Revenue has barely moved in 5 years.
  • Interest expense is 5x operating profit.
  • Still posts ₹300+ Cr quarterly losses, like clockwork.

📊 3. Financials – A Case Study in Balance Sheet Hell

MetricFY21FY22FY23FY24FY25
Revenue (₹ Cr)1,0441,0941,1061,1921,308
Net Profit (₹ Cr)-1,997-1,215-1,145-1,228-1,275
EPS (₹)-10.2-6.2-5.9-6.3-6.5
Operating Profit₹571 Crbut…
Interest Paid₹1,694 Cr🧨

📉 Book Value: -₹100 per share
📉 Net Worth: NEGATIVE ₹21,525 Cr
💣 Debt: ₹20,416 Cr (FY25)
💡 That’s 15.6x revenue — you’d get better numbers from a mafia loan shark.


🚨 4. What’s Working (Surprisingly, Something)

✅ Positives

  • 📈 OPM stable at 44–50% (enterprise business is sticky)
  • 🔁 High renewal rates in B2B segment
  • 🧘‍♂️ Survived AGR dues, Supreme Court verdict, Bharti sale, and still operational
  • 💻 Trying to pivot to Managed Cloud + SaaS services
  • 📊 Still commands ₹13,000+ Cr market cap — retail bhakts strong

❌ Negatives

  • 💀 No profits in 15+ years
  • 📉 No dividend history. Ever.
  • 🤕 Debt > entire industry capex
  • 🧾 Daily reminder: Net Worth = -₹21,525 Cr

📈 5. Shareholding – Tata Name Holding the Fort

ShareholderFY22FY25
Promoters74.36%74.36%
FII2.3%2.5%
DII0.04%0.12%
Public23.3%23.0%
  • ✋ No dilution in recent years (yet)
  • 💥 Retail base: 10.4 lakh shareholders as of Mar 2025
  • 😇 Trust is the moat, not earnings

🎯 6. Fair Value Estimate – Oh Boy

We’ll attempt this, but only for satire’s sake.

Base Case (Fantasyland)

  • Assume ₹1,500 Cr revenue, 20% net margin → PAT = ₹300 Cr
  • P/E: 20x
  • 🧮 FV = ₹6,000 Cr market cap → ~₹31/share

Reality Check

  • Actual PAT = -₹1,275 Cr
  • ❗ Theoretically zero or negative intrinsic value

🎯 EduInvesting FV Range (2025–26): ₹0 – ₹30
Current Price = ₹68. Pure momentum. Zero fundamentals.


🧠 7. Final Word – The Meme Stock with a TATA Sticker

TTML is the most respectable zombie stock on Indian markets.

  • You wouldn’t touch Vodafone Idea, MTNL, or RComm — but TTML?
  • “Tata group hai” – and that’s what’s holding up a ₹13,000 Cr illusion

💥 A perfect storm of:

  • 📈 High OPM + 🧨 High debt = 😵‍💫 No profits
  • 😇 Massive retail ownership = blind optimism
  • 🚫 No dividend, no buyback, no turnaround… yet stock rallies every bull run

🧨 Verdict: If you’re betting on a Tata rescue package or delisting bonanza — good luck. Otherwise, this ship sank in 2018. We’re just dancing on the deck.


✍️ Written by Prashant | 📅 June 18, 2025

Tags: Tata Teleservices, TTML, Telecom Stocks, Penny Stocks India, Tata Group, Wireline India, PSU Telecom, AGR Dues, Delisting Rumors, Meme Stocks India

Prashant Marathe

https://eduinvesting.in

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